RBNZ Rate Statement - ForexCracked
0.04 pip average spreads, measured over a full month of live data. Unrestricted EAs and a free MT5 virtual server.Open an accountOpen
New Zealand

RBNZ Rate Statement NZD

High impact Updated after every release
Next release Wed, Oct 28 01:00 UTC · consensus TBA  

What this release is

The RBNZ Rate Statement details the monetary policy decisions made by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand. This official release from rbnz.govt.nz provides insight into the central bank’s stance on interest rates and other tools affecting the money sector.

Forex traders closely monitor this statement because central bank interest rate decisions directly influence the New Zealand Dollar. Changes in interest rates affect the attractiveness of holding NZD denominated assets, impacting capital flows and the currency’s valuation.

After past releases, the market has shown a High typical impact. Traders often focus on the immediate rate decision and any forward guidance regarding future policy. The accompanying press conference or statement provides further context, which can lead to significant NZD price movements.

How hard it hits, measured

66 releases · own feed
Typical NZDUSD move
25pips / 1h
Median absolute move in the hour after the release
Big-release move
42pips / 1h
Top-quarter releases move at least this much
Largest measured
111pips
Biggest one-hour reaction in our archive
Direction reliability
n/a
Unlocks after 8 live-captured releases with consensus. Measured, never estimated
Pair5 min15 min1 hourBig release (1h)
NZDUSD27p25p25p42p
AUDNZD41p39p40p62p
EURNZD64p70p65p119p
GBPNZD79p80p85p130p
NZDCAD34p32p35p52p
NZDCHF24p25p22p40p
NZDJPY30p30p32p53p

How we measure: moves come from our own MT4 price feed and our archived minute bars, sampled 5, 15 and 60 minutes after each release against the pre-release price. No estimates, no third-party numbers. Releases where our feed had a gap are skipped, never guessed.

What usually happens

conditional history
Beat above consensus Accumulating. Shows after 8 live-captured releases n=0 live
Miss below consensus Accumulating. Shows after 8 live-captured releases n=0 live
In line within the surprise band Accumulating. Shows after 8 live-captured releases n=0 live

These are counts of what happened after past releases, conditional on the surprise direction. They are history, not a forecast, and never a trade recommendation. Sample sizes are shown because small samples mislead; rows stay locked until the sample is honest.

Release history

accumulates every release
DateActualForecastPreviousRevised toNZDUSD 1h
Sep 2, 2026-37p
Jul 8, 2026+13p
May 27, 2026+29p
Apr 8, 2026+4.7p
Feb 18, 2026-23p
Nov 26, 2025+41p
Oct 8, 2025-44p
Jul 9, 2025-10p
May 28, 2025+21p
Apr 9, 2025-0.9p
Feb 19, 2025-4.2p
Nov 27, 2024+42p
Jul 10, 2024-47p
Apr 10, 2024+13p
Feb 28, 2024-51p
Nov 29, 2023+44p
Oct 4, 2023-37p
Aug 16, 2023+19p
Jul 12, 2023+15p
May 24, 2023-69p
Apr 5, 2023+48p
Feb 22, 2023+4.5p
Nov 23, 2022+30p
Oct 5, 2022+38p

Showing the latest 24 of 67 tracked releases.

Reaction = NZDUSD move 60 minutes after the release, measured from our own price history. Story links appear for releases our news desk covered; every release gets a row here whether or not it gets a story. Values from before our live tracking began are the current figures in the official statistical series, so they include later revisions; live rows record the number as printed.

Market statistics, not financial advice. All reaction figures are measured from our own price feed under our published methodology.
← Back to the economic calendar