CFTC Gold Non-Commercial Net Positions - ForexCracked
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CFTC Gold Non-Commercial Net Positions USD

Medium impact Updated after every release
Next release Fri, Sep 11 19:30 UTC · consensus TBA · previous 228.1K  

What this release is

The CFTC Gold Non-Commercial Net Positions report tracks the difference between speculative long and short positions in gold futures contracts. This data is published weekly by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, available on their official website, cftc.gov. It reflects the sentiment of large non-commercial traders, often referred to as speculators, within the gold market sector.

Forex traders monitor this report because gold is often seen as a safe haven asset and an alternative store of value. Significant shifts in speculative positioning in gold can indicate broader sentiment towards risk and inflation, which can indirectly influence the US Dollar. When speculative interest in gold increases, it may suggest a flight from riskier assets or concerns about currency devaluation, potentially impacting USD demand. Conversely, a decrease might signal increased risk appetite.

The market generally focuses on the net change in non-commercial positions from the prior week. While the report itself does not undergo revisions, its impact is usually considered in conjunction with other market drivers. After past releases, market participants have observed shifts in gold prices and, by extension, sometimes a correlation with USD movements, particularly when the changes in positioning are substantial. This is a medium impact release, contributing to the overall market picture.

How hard it hits, measured

521 releases · own feed
Typical EURUSD move
3pips / 1h
Median absolute move in the hour after the release
Big-release move
6pips / 1h
Top-quarter releases move at least this much
Largest measured
45pips
Biggest one-hour reaction in our archive
Direction reliability
n/a
Unlocks after 8 live-captured releases with consensus. Measured, never estimated
Pair5 min15 min1 hourBig release (1h)
EURUSD0.9p1.6p3.3p6.3p
AUDUSD0.9p1.4p2.7p4.9p
GBPUSD1.1p2.1p4.0p7.6p
NZDUSD0.9p1.2p2.7p4.9p
USDCAD1.5p2.4p4.5p8.2p
USDCHF0.9p1.5p2.9p5.6p
USDJPY1.1p1.8p3.3p6.0p
XAUUSD3.6p5.7p9.6p19p

How we measure: moves come from our own MT4 price feed and our archived minute bars, sampled 5, 15 and 60 minutes after each release against the pre-release price. No estimates, no third-party numbers. Releases where our feed had a gap are skipped, never guessed.

What usually happens

conditional history
Beat above consensus EURUSD closed the hour higher in 5 of 10 cases · median +1.8p n=10 live
Miss below consensus EURUSD closed the hour lower in 6 of 11 cases · median -0.6p n=11 live
In line within the surprise band Accumulating. Shows after 8 live-captured releases n=3 live

These are counts of what happened after past releases, conditional on the surprise direction. They are history, not a forecast, and never a trade recommendation. Sample sizes are shown because small samples mislead; rows stay locked until the sample is honest.

Release history

accumulates every release
DateActualForecastPreviousRevised toEURUSD 1h
Sep 4, 2026228.1K243.3K-1.4p
Aug 28, 2026243.3K222.2K-1.2p
Aug 21, 2026222.2K217.9K-2.7p
Aug 14, 2026217.9K197.6K+0.8p
Aug 7, 2026197.6K182.1K-12p
Jul 31, 2026182.1K183.9K+4.9p
Jul 24, 2026183.9K186.7K0.0p
Jul 17, 2026186.7K194.2K+1.8p
Jul 10, 2026194.2K194K-2.1p
Jul 6, 2026194K181.3K+2.4p
Jun 26, 2026181.3K180.2K+8.2p
Jun 22, 2026180.2K173.8K+6.5p
Jun 12, 2026173.8K176K-6.6p
Jun 5, 2026176K154.3K+1.6p
May 29, 2026154.3K159.8K-6.6p
May 22, 2026159.8K171.6K-4.4p
May 15, 2026171.6K163.3K-0.7p
May 8, 2026163.3K159.6K+2.0p
May 1, 2026159.6K164K-5.9p
Apr 24, 2026164K162.5K+1.3p
Apr 17, 2026162.5K156.3K-11p
Apr 10, 2026156.3K163.2K+0.5p
Apr 3, 2026163.2K168.3K-0.3p
Mar 27, 2026168.3K159.9K+0.5p

Showing the latest 24 of 200 tracked releases.

Reaction = EURUSD move 60 minutes after the release, measured from our own price history. Story links appear for releases our news desk covered; every release gets a row here whether or not it gets a story. Values from before our live tracking began are the current figures in the official statistical series, so they include later revisions; live rows record the number as printed.

Market statistics, not financial advice. All reaction figures are measured from our own price feed under our published methodology.
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