Fed Chair Powell Speech - ForexCracked
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United States

Fed Chair Powell Speech USD

High impact Updated after every release

What this release is

The Fed Chair’s speeches offer direct insights into the Federal Reserve’s perspectives on the economy and monetary policy. The central bank publishes these addresses on its official website, federalreserve.gov. This release falls under the money sector.

Forex traders closely monitor these speeches due to their significant implications for United States monetary policy. The Chair’s comments can signal potential shifts in interest rate policy, quantitative easing or tightening, and the overall economic outlook. Such guidance directly influences the perceived value and direction of the US Dollar.

After past releases, market participants have typically focused on specific phrasing, forward guidance, and any subtle shifts in the Chair’s tone regarding future policy. The market often digests these speeches in real time, with immediate reactions to key statements. Revisions are not applicable to this type of release, as it is a live speech.

How hard it hits, measured

108 releases · own feed
Typical EURUSD move
7pips / 1h
Median absolute move in the hour after the release
Big-release move
18pips / 1h
Top-quarter releases move at least this much
Largest measured
118pips
Biggest one-hour reaction in our archive
Direction reliability
n/a
Unlocks after 8 live-captured releases with consensus. Measured, never estimated
Pair5 min15 min1 hourBig release (1h)
EURUSD2.5p4.5p6.7p18p
AUDUSD2.0p3.6p5.8p16p
GBPUSD4.1p6.6p8.9p19p
NZDUSD1.7p3.7p6.3p14p
USDCAD3.2p4.2p8.8p19p
USDCHF2.1p3.6p5.9p14p
USDJPY3.1p6.4p7.7p18p
XAUUSD7.7p14p27p77p

How we measure: moves come from our own MT4 price feed and our archived minute bars, sampled 5, 15 and 60 minutes after each release against the pre-release price. No estimates, no third-party numbers. Releases where our feed had a gap are skipped, never guessed.

What usually happens

conditional history
Beat above consensus Accumulating. Shows after 8 live-captured releases n=0 live
Miss below consensus Accumulating. Shows after 8 live-captured releases n=0 live
In line within the surprise band Accumulating. Shows after 8 live-captured releases n=0 live

These are counts of what happened after past releases, conditional on the surprise direction. They are history, not a forecast, and never a trade recommendation. Sample sizes are shown because small samples mislead; rows stay locked until the sample is honest.

Release history

accumulates every release
DateActualForecastPreviousRevised toEURUSD 1h
Jun 1, 2026-3.8p
Mar 30, 2026-7.4p
Mar 21, 2026
Dec 2, 2025+3.5p
Oct 14, 2025-11p
Oct 9, 2025+6.0p
Sep 23, 2025+4.9p
Aug 22, 2025+118p
Jul 22, 2025-1.7p
Jul 1, 2025-5.4p
Jun 2, 2025+4.1p
May 25, 2025
May 15, 2025-7.8p
Apr 16, 2025-0.2p
Apr 4, 2025-7.8p
Mar 7, 2025-16p
Dec 4, 2024-23p
Nov 14, 2024-27p
Sep 30, 2024-24p
Sep 26, 2024+0.9p
Aug 23, 2024+61p
Jul 15, 2024-7.1p
Jul 2, 2024-4.5p
May 19, 2024

Showing the latest 24 of 112 tracked releases.

Reaction = EURUSD move 60 minutes after the release, measured from our own price history. Story links appear for releases our news desk covered; every release gets a row here whether or not it gets a story. Values from before our live tracking began are the current figures in the official statistical series, so they include later revisions; live rows record the number as printed.

Market statistics, not financial advice. All reaction figures are measured from our own price feed under our published methodology.
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