Fed Chair Powell Testimony - ForexCracked
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United States

Fed Chair Powell Testimony USD

High impact Updated after every release

What this release is

The Fed Chair’s testimony presents the central bank’s perspective on the economy and monetary policy to legislative committees. This event is published by the Federal Reserve, whose official source website is federalreserve.gov. The testimony covers the current economic situation, the outlook, and the Federal Reserve’s actions and plans within the money sector.

Forex traders closely monitor these testimonies due to their High typical impact on the US Dollar. The Chair’s remarks offer crucial insights into the Federal Reserve’s future policy direction, including potential changes to interest rates and quantitative easing, which directly influence the value of the USD by affecting capital flows and investor sentiment.

The market typically processes the prepared statement first, followed by the question and answer session with lawmakers. Price action often reflects the perceived hawkish or dovish tone of the Chair’s comments and responses, with particular attention paid to forward guidance regarding inflation, employment, and economic growth. There are no numerical revisions associated with this type of release.

How hard it hits, measured

47 releases · own feed
Typical EURUSD move
9pips / 1h
Median absolute move in the hour after the release
Big-release move
18pips / 1h
Top-quarter releases move at least this much
Largest measured
119pips
Biggest one-hour reaction in our archive
Direction reliability
n/a
Unlocks after 8 live-captured releases with consensus. Measured, never estimated
Pair5 min15 min1 hourBig release (1h)
EURUSD4.1p5.8p9.4p18p
AUDUSD3.4p4.2p9.0p16p
GBPUSD5.0p7.2p16p22p
NZDUSD3.4p5.0p6.2p13p
USDCAD4.2p5.3p12p20p
USDCHF3.1p4.3p9.7p18p
USDJPY2.8p6.0p8.2p15p
XAUUSD13p20p34p72p

How we measure: moves come from our own MT4 price feed and our archived minute bars, sampled 5, 15 and 60 minutes after each release against the pre-release price. No estimates, no third-party numbers. Releases where our feed had a gap are skipped, never guessed.

What usually happens

conditional history
Beat above consensus Accumulating. Shows after 8 live-captured releases n=0 live
Miss below consensus Accumulating. Shows after 8 live-captured releases n=0 live
In line within the surprise band Accumulating. Shows after 8 live-captured releases n=0 live

These are counts of what happened after past releases, conditional on the surprise direction. They are history, not a forecast, and never a trade recommendation. Sample sizes are shown because small samples mislead; rows stay locked until the sample is honest.

Release history

accumulates every release
DateActualForecastPreviousRevised toEURUSD 1h
Jun 25, 2025+20p
Jun 24, 2025+25p
Feb 12, 2025+24p
Feb 11, 2025+7.7p
Jul 10, 2024+0.6p
Jul 9, 2024-6.2p
Mar 7, 2024+14p
Mar 6, 2024+18p
Jun 22, 2023-22p
Jun 21, 2023+28p
Mar 8, 2023-3.6p
Mar 7, 2023-62p
Jun 23, 2022-15p
Jun 22, 2022+24p
Mar 3, 2022-18p
Mar 2, 2022-25p
Jan 11, 2022+17p
Dec 1, 2021-18p
Nov 30, 2021-119p
Sep 30, 2021+3.2p
Sep 28, 2021-7.0p
Jul 15, 2021+0.1p
Jul 14, 2021+6.9p
Jun 22, 2021+0.8p

Showing the latest 24 of 47 tracked releases.

Reaction = EURUSD move 60 minutes after the release, measured from our own price history. Story links appear for releases our news desk covered; every release gets a row here whether or not it gets a story. Values from before our live tracking began are the current figures in the official statistical series, so they include later revisions; live rows record the number as printed.

Market statistics, not financial advice. All reaction figures are measured from our own price feed under our published methodology.
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