FOMC Press Conference - ForexCracked
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United States

FOMC Press Conference USD

High impact Updated after every release
Next release Wed, Sep 16 18:30 UTC · consensus TBA  

What this release is

The Federal Open Market Committee, FOMC, Press Conference is a scheduled event where the Chair of the Federal Reserve discusses the central bank’s recent monetary policy decisions. It provides detailed context for the decisions made by the Federal Reserve, the central bank of the United States, whose official source website is federalreserve.gov.

Forex traders monitor this event closely due to its High typical impact on the US dollar. As a key release in the money sector, the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy, including interest rate decisions and quantitative easing or tightening, directly influences the supply and demand for the dollar, affecting its value against other currencies.

The market typically reacts to the Chair’s commentary, looking for insights into future policy direction and economic outlook. Traders analyze the tone and specific phrasing for clues about potential shifts in interest rates or other monetary tools. Price action often occurs rapidly during the live conference as new information is conveyed.

How hard it hits, measured

72 releases · own feed
Typical EURUSD move
27pips / 1h
Median absolute move in the hour after the release
Big-release move
44pips / 1h
Top-quarter releases move at least this much
Largest measured
109pips
Biggest one-hour reaction in our archive
Direction reliability
n/a
Unlocks after 8 live-captured releases with consensus. Measured, never estimated
Pair5 min15 min1 hourBig release (1h)
EURUSD6.0p14p27p44p
AUDUSD5.9p13p23p34p
GBPUSD6.6p17p32p44p
NZDUSD5.2p12p21p30p
USDCAD6.1p14p25p36p
USDCHF4.3p12p22p31p
USDJPY7.1p16p25p50p
XAUUSD20p48p84p155p

How we measure: moves come from our own MT4 price feed and our archived minute bars, sampled 5, 15 and 60 minutes after each release against the pre-release price. No estimates, no third-party numbers. Releases where our feed had a gap are skipped, never guessed.

What usually happens

conditional history
Beat above consensus Accumulating. Shows after 8 live-captured releases n=0 live
Miss below consensus Accumulating. Shows after 8 live-captured releases n=0 live
In line within the surprise band Accumulating. Shows after 8 live-captured releases n=0 live

These are counts of what happened after past releases, conditional on the surprise direction. They are history, not a forecast, and never a trade recommendation. Sample sizes are shown because small samples mislead; rows stay locked until the sample is honest.

Release history

accumulates every release
DateActualForecastPreviousRevised toEURUSD 1h
Jul 29, 2026+32p
Jun 17, 2026-53p
Apr 29, 2026-1.2p
Mar 18, 2026-36p
Jan 28, 2026+41p
Dec 10, 2025+30p
Oct 29, 2025-60p
Sep 17, 2025-45p
Jul 30, 2025-68p
Jun 18, 2025-45p
May 7, 2025-33p
Mar 19, 2025+0.5p
Jan 29, 2025+18p
Dec 18, 2024-59p
Nov 7, 2024+19p
Sep 18, 2024-40p
Jul 31, 2024+9.6p
Jun 12, 2024-26p
May 1, 2024+8.7p
Mar 20, 2024+34p
Jan 31, 2024-29p
Dec 13, 2023+5.2p
Nov 1, 2023+27p
Sep 20, 2023-19p

Showing the latest 24 of 72 tracked releases.

Reaction = EURUSD move 60 minutes after the release, measured from our own price history. Story links appear for releases our news desk covered; every release gets a row here whether or not it gets a story. Values from before our live tracking began are the current figures in the official statistical series, so they include later revisions; live rows record the number as printed.

Market statistics, not financial advice. All reaction figures are measured from our own price feed under our published methodology.
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