PBC New Loans - ForexCracked
China

PBC New Loans CNY

Medium impact Updated after every release
Next release Tue, Nov 10 01:00 UTC · consensus 0.641T  

What this release is

The People’s Bank of China, the nation’s central bank, publishes monthly data on New Loans issued in Chinese Yuan. This release provides a direct measure of new credit extended to households and businesses within the economy. It is a key indicator for the money sector and is sourced from pbc.gov.cn.

Forex traders monitor New Loans as a key indicator of economic activity and monetary conditions in China. An increase in new loans often suggests expanding investment and consumption, which can impact economic growth and inflation. Such trends can influence the People’s Bank of China’s future policy decisions, affecting the attractiveness and valuation of the Chinese Yuan. This series typically has a Medium impact rating.

Market participants generally focus on the headline figure of the New Loans release. Revisions to prior months’ data can also attract attention, as they provide updated context on past credit expansion. After past releases, market reactions have reflected the perceived implications for the broader Chinese economy and the central bank’s stance.

How hard it hits, measured

7 releases · own feed
Typical USDCNH move
11pips / 1h
Median absolute move in the hour after the release
Big-release move
26pips / 1h
Top-quarter releases move at least this much
Direction reliability
n/a
Unlocks after 8 live-captured releases with consensus. Measured, never estimated
Pair5 min15 min1 hourBig release (1h)
USDCNH4.1p2.6p11p26p

How we measure: moves come from our own MT4 price feed and our archived minute bars, sampled 5, 15 and 60 minutes after each release against the pre-release price. No estimates, no third-party numbers. Releases where our feed had a gap are skipped, never guessed.

What usually happens

conditional history
Beat above consensus Accumulating. Shows after 8 live-captured releases n=0 live
Miss below consensus Accumulating. Shows after 8 live-captured releases n=0 live
In line within the surprise band Accumulating. Shows after 8 live-captured releases n=0 live

These are counts of what happened after past releases, conditional on the surprise direction. They are history, not a forecast, and never a trade recommendation. Sample sizes are shown because small samples mislead; rows stay locked until the sample is honest.

Release history

accumulates every release
DateActualForecastPreviousRevised toUSDCNH 1h
Sep 15, 20260.06T-0.081T-0.34T———
Aug 14, 2026-0.34T0.591T1.61T———
Jul 15, 20261.61T1.747T0.52T———
Jun 13, 20260.52T0.039T-0.01T———
May 15, 2026-0.01T2.053T2.99T———
Apr 13, 20262.99T1.109T0.9T———
Mar 13, 20260.9T4.367T4.71T———
Feb 21, 20264.71T1.256T0.91T———
Jan 24, 20260.91T—0.39T———
Dec 24, 20250.39T-0.05T0.22T———
Nov 13, 20250.22T0.633T1.29T———
Oct 15, 20251.29T—0.59T———
Sep 12, 20250.59T0.781T-0.05T———
Aug 13, 2025-0.05T1.113T2.24T———
Jul 14, 20252.24T1.548T0.62T———
Jun 13, 20250.62T0.954T0.28T———
May 15, 20250.28T2.626T3.64T———
Apr 14, 20253.64T2.228T1.01T———
Mar 14, 20251.01T2.889T5.13T———
Feb 14, 20255.13T2.438T0.99T———
Jan 14, 20250.99T1.272T0.58T———
Dec 13, 20240.58T1.555T0.5T———
Nov 11, 20240.5T1.205T1.59T———
Oct 14, 20241.59T2.329T0.9T———

Showing the latest 24 of 123 tracked releases.

Reaction = USDCNH move 60 minutes after the release, measured from our own price history. Story links appear for releases our news desk covered; every release gets a row here whether or not it gets a story. Values from before our live tracking began are the current figures in the official statistical series, so they include later revisions; live rows record the number as printed.

Market statistics, not financial advice. All reaction figures are measured from our own price feed under our published methodology.
← Back to the economic calendar