ECB Monetary Policy Press Conference - ForexCracked
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Euro area

ECB Monetary Policy Press Conference EUR

High impact Updated after every release
Next release Thu, Sep 10 12:45 UTC · consensus TBA  

What this release is

The ECB Monetary Policy Press Conference is a regular event where the European Central Bank, the central bank for the euro area, communicates its decisions and outlook on monetary policy. This event follows the Governing Council’s monetary policy meeting and is a key communication channel from ecb.europa.eu, focusing on the money sector.

Forex traders closely monitor this press conference because the central bank’s statements and answers to questions provide insights into future interest rate changes, quantitative easing or tightening measures, and the overall economic assessment for the euro area. Such policy signals can influence the perceived value and demand for the euro currency.

After past releases, market participants have typically reacted to explicit policy changes, forward guidance on future actions, and the central bank’s economic projections. The tone and specific wording used by the central bank president during the question and answer session are often scrutinized for clues about the direction of monetary policy, leading to potential volatility in EUR pairs.

How hard it hits, measured

82 releases · own feed
Typical EURUSD move
21pips / 1h
Median absolute move in the hour after the release
Big-release move
48pips / 1h
Top-quarter releases move at least this much
Largest measured
99pips
Biggest one-hour reaction in our archive
Direction reliability
n/a
Unlocks after 8 live-captured releases with consensus. Measured, never estimated
Pair5 min15 min1 hourBig release (1h)
EURUSD6.4p10p21p48p
EURAUD6.6p13p29p52p
EURCAD5.8p13p32p46p
EURCHF2.7p5.2p12p19p
EURGBP2.7p4.2p10p22p
EURJPY5.3p11p28p49p
EURNZD6.0p14p33p58p

How we measure: moves come from our own MT4 price feed and our archived minute bars, sampled 5, 15 and 60 minutes after each release against the pre-release price. No estimates, no third-party numbers. Releases where our feed had a gap are skipped, never guessed.

What usually happens

conditional history
Beat above consensus Accumulating. Shows after 8 live-captured releases n=0 live
Miss below consensus Accumulating. Shows after 8 live-captured releases n=0 live
In line within the surprise band Accumulating. Shows after 8 live-captured releases n=0 live

These are counts of what happened after past releases, conditional on the surprise direction. They are history, not a forecast, and never a trade recommendation. Sample sizes are shown because small samples mislead; rows stay locked until the sample is honest.

Release history

accumulates every release
DateActualForecastPreviousRevised toEURUSD 1h
Jul 23, 2026+0.8p
Jun 11, 2026+1.5p
Apr 30, 2026+1.2p
Mar 19, 2026+32p
Feb 5, 2026+2.0p
Dec 18, 2025-5.7p
Oct 30, 2025-2.3p
Sep 11, 2025+29p
Jul 24, 2025+25p
Jun 5, 2025+43p
Apr 17, 2025+4.1p
Mar 6, 2025+13p
Jan 30, 2025+12p
Jan 29, 2025+7.7p
Dec 12, 2024+10p
Oct 17, 2024-11p
Sep 12, 2024+15p
Jul 18, 2024-18p
Jun 6, 2024-4.6p
Apr 11, 2024+6.7p
Mar 7, 2024+19p
Jan 25, 2024-32p
Dec 14, 2023+50p
Oct 26, 2023+9.8p

Showing the latest 24 of 82 tracked releases.

Reaction = EURUSD move 60 minutes after the release, measured from our own price history. Story links appear for releases our news desk covered; every release gets a row here whether or not it gets a story. Values from before our live tracking began are the current figures in the official statistical series, so they include later revisions; live rows record the number as printed.

Market statistics, not financial advice. All reaction figures are measured from our own price feed under our published methodology.
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