ECB Monetary Policy Press Conference - ForexCracked
Euro area

ECB Monetary Policy Press Conference EUR

High impact Updated after every release
Next release Thu, Oct 29 13:45 UTC · consensus TBA  

What this release is

The ECB Monetary Policy Press Conference is a regular event where the European Central Bank, the central bank for the euro area, communicates its decisions and outlook on monetary policy. This event follows the Governing Council’s monetary policy meeting and is a key communication channel from ecb.europa.eu, focusing on the money sector.

Forex traders closely monitor this press conference because the central bank’s statements and answers to questions provide insights into future interest rate changes, quantitative easing or tightening measures, and the overall economic assessment for the euro area. Such policy signals can influence the perceived value and demand for the euro currency.

After past releases, market participants have typically reacted to explicit policy changes, forward guidance on future actions, and the central bank’s economic projections. The tone and specific wording used by the central bank president during the question and answer session are often scrutinized for clues about the direction of monetary policy, leading to potential volatility in EUR pairs.

How hard it hits, measured

83 releases · own feed
Typical EURUSD move
20pips / 1h
Median absolute move in the hour after the release
Big-release move
48pips / 1h
Top-quarter releases move at least this much
Largest measured
99pips
Biggest one-hour reaction in our archive
Direction reliability
n/a
Unlocks after 8 live-captured releases with consensus. Measured, never estimated
Pair5 min15 min1 hourBig release (1h)
EURUSD6.3p10p20p48p
EURAUD6.4p13p28p52p
EURCAD5.7p13p31p46p
EURCHF2.7p5.1p12p19p
EURGBP2.7p4.1p10p21p
EURJPY5.2p10p27p48p
EURNZD5.9p14p33p58p

How we measure: moves come from our own MT4 price feed and our archived minute bars, sampled 5, 15 and 60 minutes after each release against the pre-release price. No estimates, no third-party numbers. Releases where our feed had a gap are skipped, never guessed.

What usually happens

conditional history
Beat above consensus Accumulating. Shows after 8 live-captured releases n=0 live
Miss below consensus Accumulating. Shows after 8 live-captured releases n=0 live
In line within the surprise band Accumulating. Shows after 8 live-captured releases n=0 live

These are counts of what happened after past releases, conditional on the surprise direction. They are history, not a forecast, and never a trade recommendation. Sample sizes are shown because small samples mislead; rows stay locked until the sample is honest.

Release history

accumulates every release
DateActualForecastPreviousRevised toEURUSD 1h
Sep 10, 2026————+16p—
Jul 23, 2026————+0.8p—
Jun 11, 2026————+1.5p—
Apr 30, 2026————+1.2p—
Mar 19, 2026————+32p—
Feb 5, 2026————+2.0p—
Dec 18, 2025————-5.7p—
Oct 30, 2025————-2.3p—
Sep 11, 2025————+29p—
Jul 24, 2025————+25p—
Jun 5, 2025————+43p—
Apr 17, 2025————+4.1p—
Mar 6, 2025————+13p—
Jan 30, 2025————+12p—
Jan 29, 2025————+7.7p—
Dec 12, 2024————+10p—
Oct 17, 2024————-11p—
Sep 12, 2024————+15p—
Jul 18, 2024————-18p—
Jun 6, 2024————-4.6p—
Apr 11, 2024————+6.7p—
Mar 7, 2024————+19p—
Jan 25, 2024————-32p—
Dec 14, 2023————+50p—

Showing the latest 24 of 83 tracked releases.

Reaction = EURUSD move 60 minutes after the release, measured from our own price history. Story links appear for releases our news desk covered; every release gets a row here whether or not it gets a story. Values from before our live tracking began are the current figures in the official statistical series, so they include later revisions; live rows record the number as printed.

Market statistics, not financial advice. All reaction figures are measured from our own price feed under our published methodology.
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