CFTC EUR Non-Commercial Net Positions - ForexCracked
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Euro area

CFTC EUR Non-Commercial Net Positions EUR

Medium impact Updated after every release
Next release Fri, Sep 11 19:30 UTC · consensus TBA · previous -24.9K  

What this release is

The CFTC EUR Non-Commercial Net Positions report tracks the difference between long and short positions in EUR futures contracts held by non-commercial traders. These are large market participants who trade for speculative purposes rather than hedging. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission, or CFTC, publishes this data weekly on its official website, cftc.gov, providing insight into the market sector.

Forex traders monitor these net positions to gauge the prevailing sentiment among large speculators regarding the Euro. A significant net long position suggests bullish conviction, while a net short position indicates bearish sentiment. Changes in these positions can signal shifts in market direction or highlight potential for price movements as large traders adjust their exposure.

The market typically focuses on the weekly change in these net positions as a measure of evolving sentiment. After past releases, this data has shown a Medium impact on the EUR. Traders integrate this information into their broader analysis of market positioning and potential future supply and demand dynamics for the currency.

How hard it hits, measured

521 releases · own feed
Typical EURUSD move
3pips / 1h
Median absolute move in the hour after the release
Big-release move
6pips / 1h
Top-quarter releases move at least this much
Largest measured
45pips
Biggest one-hour reaction in our archive
Direction reliability
n/a
Unlocks after 8 live-captured releases with consensus. Measured, never estimated
Pair5 min15 min1 hourBig release (1h)
EURUSD0.9p1.6p3.3p6.3p
EURAUD1.6p2.5p5.3p8.7p
EURCAD1.4p2.5p5.0p9.4p
EURCHF0.8p1.1p2.7p4.6p
EURGBP0.6p1.0p2.2p4.0p
EURJPY1.4p2.1p4.2p8.6p
EURNZD1.7p2.8p5.5p10p

How we measure: moves come from our own MT4 price feed and our archived minute bars, sampled 5, 15 and 60 minutes after each release against the pre-release price. No estimates, no third-party numbers. Releases where our feed had a gap are skipped, never guessed.

What usually happens

conditional history
Beat above consensus EURUSD closed the hour lower in 9 of 12 cases · median -1.8p n=12 live
Miss below consensus EURUSD closed the hour higher in 8 of 11 cases · median +4.6p n=11 live
In line within the surprise band Accumulating. Shows after 8 live-captured releases n=1 live

These are counts of what happened after past releases, conditional on the surprise direction. They are history, not a forecast, and never a trade recommendation. Sample sizes are shown because small samples mislead; rows stay locked until the sample is honest.

Release history

accumulates every release
DateActualForecastPreviousRevised toEURUSD 1h
Sep 4, 2026-24.9K-36.4K-1.4p
Aug 28, 2026-36.4K-59.1K-1.2p
Aug 21, 2026-59.1K-60K-2.7p
Aug 14, 2026-60K-58.1K+0.8p
Aug 7, 2026-58.1K-72.4K-12p
Jul 31, 2026-72.4K-41.3K+4.9p
Jul 24, 2026-41.3K-12.6K0.0p
Jul 17, 2026-12.6K-16.2K+1.8p
Jul 10, 2026-16.2K1.1K-2.1p
Jul 6, 20261.1K30.2K+2.4p
Jun 26, 202630.2K34.4K+8.2p
Jun 22, 202634.4K13.9K+6.5p
Jun 12, 202613.9K48.9K-6.6p
Jun 5, 202648.9K29.4K+1.6p
May 29, 202629.4K33.5K-6.6p
May 22, 202633.5K40.2K-4.4p
May 15, 202640.2K32.2K-0.7p
May 8, 202632.2K35.7K+2.0p
May 1, 202635.7K41.3K-5.9p
Apr 24, 202641.3K26K+1.3p
Apr 17, 202626K-7.5K-11p
Apr 10, 2026-7.5K0.5K+0.5p
Apr 3, 20260.5K9.3K-0.3p
Mar 27, 20269.3K21.1K+0.5p

Showing the latest 24 of 200 tracked releases.

Reaction = EURUSD move 60 minutes after the release, measured from our own price history. Story links appear for releases our news desk covered; every release gets a row here whether or not it gets a story. Values from before our live tracking began are the current figures in the official statistical series, so they include later revisions; live rows record the number as printed.

Market statistics, not financial advice. All reaction figures are measured from our own price feed under our published methodology.
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