ECB President Draghi Speech - ForexCracked
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Euro area

ECB President Draghi Speech EUR

High impact Updated after every release

What this release is

Speeches by the President of the European Central Bank, or ECB, provide direct communication regarding the Eurozone’s monetary policy and economic outlook. These addresses are delivered by the head of the central bank for the Euro area. The official source for information related to these speeches is ecb.europa.eu, reflecting the institution’s role in the money sector.

Forex traders closely monitor these speeches due to their high typical impact on the Euro. The President’s remarks often offer critical insights into the ECB’s future policy intentions, including potential adjustments to interest rates, quantitative easing measures, or forward guidance on economic conditions. Such statements can significantly influence market expectations for the Euro’s valuation against other currencies.

The market typically digests these speeches by focusing on any new policy signals or shifts in the central bank’s economic assessment. After past releases, market participants have reacted to changes in the ECB’s tone or specific policy hints, adjusting their positions accordingly. The timing of these reactions can be immediate, reflecting the importance of direct communication from the Eurozone’s chief monetary authority.

How hard it hits, measured

81 releases · own feed
Typical EURUSD move
8pips / 1h
Median absolute move in the hour after the release
Big-release move
14pips / 1h
Top-quarter releases move at least this much
Largest measured
62pips
Biggest one-hour reaction in our archive
Direction reliability
n/a
Unlocks after 8 live-captured releases with consensus. Measured, never estimated
Pair5 min15 min1 hourBig release (1h)
EURUSD2.3p4.0p8.3p14p
EURAUD4.1p6.3p14p25p
EURCAD4.2p6.3p14p24p
EURCHF1.5p2.5p5.2p9.8p
EURGBP2.2p3.7p6.0p13p
EURJPY3.1p4.5p8.6p16p
EURNZD4.1p7.0p14p25p

How we measure: moves come from our own MT4 price feed and our archived minute bars, sampled 5, 15 and 60 minutes after each release against the pre-release price. No estimates, no third-party numbers. Releases where our feed had a gap are skipped, never guessed.

What usually happens

conditional history
Beat above consensus Accumulating. Shows after 8 live-captured releases n=0 live
Miss below consensus Accumulating. Shows after 8 live-captured releases n=0 live
In line within the surprise band Accumulating. Shows after 8 live-captured releases n=0 live

These are counts of what happened after past releases, conditional on the surprise direction. They are history, not a forecast, and never a trade recommendation. Sample sizes are shown because small samples mislead; rows stay locked until the sample is honest.

Release history

accumulates every release
DateActualForecastPreviousRevised toEURUSD 1h
Oct 28, 2019+1.6p
Oct 11, 2019+15p
Oct 1, 2019-9.2p
Sep 26, 2019-5.8p
Sep 23, 2019-4.5p
Sep 23, 2019+2.8p
Jun 19, 2019+12p
Jun 18, 2019-13p
Jun 18, 2019-48p
Jun 17, 2019-7.5p
Jun 12, 2019-9.8p
May 22, 2019+9.1p
May 8, 2019+2.8p
Mar 27, 2019+24p
Feb 22, 2019+3.7p
Jan 28, 2019+0.9p
Jan 28, 2019+9.6p
Jan 15, 2019-50p
Dec 15, 2018
Dec 5, 2018+10p
Nov 26, 2018-4.8p
Nov 26, 2018-12p
Nov 16, 2018-8.2p
Nov 8, 2018-19p

Showing the latest 24 of 83 tracked releases.

Reaction = EURUSD move 60 minutes after the release, measured from our own price history. Story links appear for releases our news desk covered; every release gets a row here whether or not it gets a story. Values from before our live tracking began are the current figures in the official statistical series, so they include later revisions; live rows record the number as printed.

Market statistics, not financial advice. All reaction figures are measured from our own price feed under our published methodology.
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