ECB President Lagarde Speech - ForexCracked
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Euro area

ECB President Lagarde Speech EUR

High impact Updated after every release
Next release Wed, Sep 9 17:00 UTC · consensus TBA  

What this release is

The ECB President Lagarde Speech refers to public statements made by the President of the European Central Bank. These speeches often cover the Eurozone economic outlook, monetary policy, and financial stability. The official source for these statements is ecb.europa.eu, from the money sector.

Forex traders closely monitor these speeches because the President’s remarks can signal potential shifts in the European Central Bank’s monetary policy. Insights into interest rate expectations, quantitative easing or tightening, and economic forecasts directly influence market sentiment towards the Euro.

The market typically reacts to the specific wording and tone of the President’s address, particularly any new guidance or changes in policy outlook. The impact on EUR currency pairs is often high, as traders assess the implications for future central bank actions. Market digestion occurs in real time as the speech unfolds.

How hard it hits, measured

393 releases · own feed
Typical EURUSD move
6pips / 1h
Median absolute move in the hour after the release
Big-release move
12pips / 1h
Top-quarter releases move at least this much
Largest measured
86pips
Biggest one-hour reaction in our archive
Direction reliability
n/a
Unlocks after 8 live-captured releases with consensus. Measured, never estimated
Pair5 min15 min1 hourBig release (1h)
EURUSD2.1p3.8p5.8p12p
EURAUD3.7p5.1p9.7p18p
EURCAD2.8p4.5p7.9p14p
EURCHF1.5p2.2p5.0p8.5p
EURGBP1.5p2.1p4.3p7.8p
EURJPY3.0p4.6p10p20p
EURNZD3.7p5.8p10p19p

How we measure: moves come from our own MT4 price feed and our archived minute bars, sampled 5, 15 and 60 minutes after each release against the pre-release price. No estimates, no third-party numbers. Releases where our feed had a gap are skipped, never guessed.

What usually happens

conditional history
Beat above consensus Accumulating. Shows after 8 live-captured releases n=0 live
Miss below consensus Accumulating. Shows after 8 live-captured releases n=0 live
In line within the surprise band Accumulating. Shows after 8 live-captured releases n=0 live

These are counts of what happened after past releases, conditional on the surprise direction. They are history, not a forecast, and never a trade recommendation. Sample sizes are shown because small samples mislead; rows stay locked until the sample is honest.

Release history

accumulates every release
DateActualForecastPreviousRevised toEURUSD 1h
Aug 19, 2026-3.7p
Jul 14, 2026+6.1p
Jul 13, 2026-0.9p
Jul 6, 2026+5.7p
Jul 3, 2026
Jul 1, 20260.0p
Jul 1, 2026+24p
Jun 29, 2026+0.1p
Jun 22, 2026-19p
Jun 22, 2026-26p
Jun 22, 2026-1.7p
Jun 17, 2026-11p
Jun 15, 2026-0.9p
Jun 11, 2026-6.1p
Jun 9, 2026+4.8p
Jun 4, 2026+9.1p
May 28, 2026+0.7p
May 22, 2026-12p
May 14, 2026-3.0p
May 13, 2026+3.1p
May 8, 2026-1.1p
May 5, 2026+4.7p
Apr 30, 2026+36p
Apr 28, 2026+5.6p

Showing the latest 24 of 200 tracked releases.

Reaction = EURUSD move 60 minutes after the release, measured from our own price history. Story links appear for releases our news desk covered; every release gets a row here whether or not it gets a story. Values from before our live tracking began are the current figures in the official statistical series, so they include later revisions; live rows record the number as printed.

Market statistics, not financial advice. All reaction figures are measured from our own price feed under our published methodology.
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