Euro Area Flash GDP q/q - ForexCracked
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Euro area · Gdp

Euro Area Flash GDP q/q EUR

Medium impact Updated after every release
Next release Fri, Oct 30 10:00 UTC · consensus TBA  

What this release is

The Euro Area Flash Gross Domestic Product, GDP, quarter over quarter report measures the change in the total value of all goods and services produced across the Euro Area economy compared to the previous quarter. This initial estimate of economic growth is published by Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union.

Forex traders monitor Euro Area GDP as a primary indicator of the region’s economic health. Stronger economic growth can suggest potential for the European Central Bank, ECB, to consider tighter monetary policy. Conversely, weaker growth may lead to expectations of more accommodative policy. Shifts in central bank policy expectations can influence the Euro’s valuation against other currencies.

As a flash estimate, this GDP report is the earliest available reading of Euro Area economic activity for the quarter. Market participants often focus on the headline growth figure upon release. However, traders also recognize that these initial numbers are subject to revisions in subsequent updates. The market reaction can reflect both the immediate headline and the anticipation of potential future adjustments.

How hard it hits, measured

15 releases · own feed
Typical EURUSD move
9pips / 1h
Median absolute move in the hour after the release
Big-release move
14pips / 1h
Top-quarter releases move at least this much
Largest measured
16pips
Biggest one-hour reaction in our archive
Direction reliability
n/a
Unlocks after 8 live-captured releases with consensus. Measured, never estimated
Pair5 min15 min1 hourBig release (1h)
EURUSD3.3p2.2p8.6p14p
EURAUD1.7p3.7p6.3p14p
EURCAD2.8p2.2p7.9p11p
EURCHF1.1p2.2p6.2p9.1p
EURGBP1.2p1.6p2.8p4.6p
EURJPY5.4p3.2p8.5p13p
EURNZD2.3p4.9p8.9p21p

How we measure: moves come from our own MT4 price feed and our archived minute bars, sampled 5, 15 and 60 minutes after each release against the pre-release price. No estimates, no third-party numbers. Releases where our feed had a gap are skipped, never guessed.

What usually happens

conditional history
Beat above consensus Accumulating. Shows after 8 live-captured releases n=0 live
Miss below consensus Accumulating. Shows after 8 live-captured releases n=0 live
In line within the surprise band Accumulating. Shows after 8 live-captured releases n=0 live

These are counts of what happened after past releases, conditional on the surprise direction. They are history, not a forecast, and never a trade recommendation. Sample sizes are shown because small samples mislead; rows stay locked until the sample is honest.

Release history

accumulates every release
DateActualForecastPreviousRevised toEURUSD 1h
Jul 30, 2026+16p
Jul 30, 2026+16p
May 13, 2026+3.1p
Apr 30, 2026+15p
Feb 13, 2026-3.2p
Jan 30, 2026+13p
Nov 14, 2025-8.2p
Oct 30, 2025-9.5p
Aug 14, 2025+14p
Jul 30, 2025-4.8p
May 15, 2025-7.4p
Apr 30, 2025-8.6p
Feb 14, 2025-14p
Jan 30, 2025-6.8p

Reaction = EURUSD move 60 minutes after the release, measured from our own price history. Story links appear for releases our news desk covered; every release gets a row here whether or not it gets a story. Values from before our live tracking began are the current figures in the official statistical series, so they include later revisions; live rows record the number as printed.

Market statistics, not financial advice. All reaction figures are measured from our own price feed under our published methodology.
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