CFTC JPY Non-Commercial Net Positions - ForexCracked
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Japan

CFTC JPY Non-Commercial Net Positions JPY

Medium impact Updated after every release
Next release Fri, Sep 11 19:30 UTC · consensus TBA · previous -92.2K  

What this release is

The CFTC JPY Non-Commercial Net Positions report, published weekly by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (cftc.gov), measures the difference between long and short positions held by large speculative traders in Japanese Yen futures contracts. This market sector data provides insight into the sentiment of institutional investors regarding the JPY.

Forex traders monitor these net positions as they reflect the collective sentiment of major non-commercial market participants towards the Japanese Yen. A significant shift in these positions can indicate changing speculative conviction, potentially influencing future JPY price movements as large traders adjust their holdings in the currency market.

The market typically focuses on the weekly change in these net positions. While not a primary driver of immediate price action, consistent trends in non-commercial positioning are observed for their potential to signal broader shifts in JPY sentiment. This release typically carries a Medium impact rating.

How hard it hits, measured

521 releases · own feed
Typical USDJPY move
3pips / 1h
Median absolute move in the hour after the release
Big-release move
6pips / 1h
Top-quarter releases move at least this much
Largest measured
97pips
Biggest one-hour reaction in our archive
Direction reliability
n/a
Unlocks after 8 live-captured releases with consensus. Measured, never estimated
Pair5 min15 min1 hourBig release (1h)
USDJPY1.1p1.8p3.3p6.0p
AUDJPY1.2p2.0p3.5p6.9p
CADJPY1.3p2.1p4.0p7.7p
CHFJPY1.3p2.2p4.6p8.6p
EURJPY1.4p2.1p4.2p8.6p
GBPJPY2.0p3.0p5.6p11p
NZDJPY1.1p1.8p3.4p6.4p

How we measure: moves come from our own MT4 price feed and our archived minute bars, sampled 5, 15 and 60 minutes after each release against the pre-release price. No estimates, no third-party numbers. Releases where our feed had a gap are skipped, never guessed.

What usually happens

conditional history
Beat above consensus Accumulating. Shows after 8 live-captured releases n=7 live
Miss below consensus USDJPY closed the hour higher in 7 of 13 cases · median +3.2p n=13 live
In line within the surprise band Accumulating. Shows after 8 live-captured releases n=4 live

These are counts of what happened after past releases, conditional on the surprise direction. They are history, not a forecast, and never a trade recommendation. Sample sizes are shown because small samples mislead; rows stay locked until the sample is honest.

Release history

accumulates every release
DateActualForecastPreviousRevised toUSDJPY 1h
Sep 4, 2026-92.2K-63.3K+0.4p
Aug 28, 2026-63.3K-52.9K-0.1p
Aug 21, 2026-52.9K-42.1K-3.2p
Aug 14, 2026-42.1K-45.5K-4.9p
Aug 7, 2026-45.5K-163.4K+22p
Jul 31, 2026-163.4K-152.1K-97p
Jul 24, 2026-152.1K-122.7K+0.8p
Jul 17, 2026-122.7K-123.8K-2.8p
Jul 10, 2026-123.8K-155.1K+1.9p
Jul 6, 2026-155.1K-146.1K-4.6p
Jun 26, 2026-146.1K-150.1K+0.1p
Jun 22, 2026-150.1K-145.8K-4.4p
Jun 12, 2026-145.8K-129.6K-1.3p
Jun 5, 2026-129.6K-114.7K+1.2p
May 29, 2026-114.7K-93.9K+1.3p
May 22, 2026-93.9K-75.1K+2.2p
May 15, 2026-75.1K-61.7K+7.9p
May 8, 2026-61.7K-102.1K-2.3p
May 1, 2026-102.1K-94.5K
Apr 24, 2026-94.5K-83.2K-2.1p
Apr 17, 2026-83.2K-93.7K+15p
Apr 10, 2026-93.7K-72.9K+1.6p
Apr 3, 2026-72.9K-62.8K-5.0p
Mar 27, 2026-62.8K-67.8K

Showing the latest 24 of 200 tracked releases.

Reaction = USDJPY move 60 minutes after the release, measured from our own price history. Story links appear for releases our news desk covered; every release gets a row here whether or not it gets a story. Values from before our live tracking began are the current figures in the official statistical series, so they include later revisions; live rows record the number as printed.

Market statistics, not financial advice. All reaction figures are measured from our own price feed under our published methodology.
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