FOMC Member Williams Speech - ForexCracked
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United States

FOMC Member Williams Speech USD

Medium impact Updated after every release

What this release is

Speeches by John C. Williams, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York and a member of the Federal Open Market Committee, offer insights into the central bank’s perspective on the economy and monetary policy. This information, originating from newyorkfed.org, pertains to the money sector.

Forex traders monitor these speeches for indications of potential shifts in interest rates or the Federal Reserve’s overall policy stance. Comments on inflation, employment, or economic growth can influence expectations for future monetary actions. After past speeches, market participants have adjusted their outlook for the US dollar based on these policy signals.

The market typically processes these speeches by focusing on specific phrases, forward guidance, and the overall tone regarding economic conditions. Any perceived change in the central bank’s hawkish or dovish leanings can prompt immediate market reactions. The impact is often assessed based on how the speech aligns with or deviates from previous central bank communications.

How hard it hits, measured

257 releases · own feed
Typical EURUSD move
6pips / 1h
Median absolute move in the hour after the release
Big-release move
11pips / 1h
Top-quarter releases move at least this much
Largest measured
96pips
Biggest one-hour reaction in our archive
Direction reliability
n/a
Unlocks after 8 live-captured releases with consensus. Measured, never estimated
Pair5 min15 min1 hourBig release (1h)
EURUSD1.7p3.5p5.6p11p
AUDUSD1.6p2.4p4.6p9.1p
GBPUSD2.8p4.0p7.9p14p
NZDUSD1.7p2.6p4.9p8.5p
USDCAD2.4p3.6p6.4p13p
USDCHF1.8p2.9p4.9p10p
USDJPY1.9p2.6p6.3p12p
XAUUSD5.6p9.1p17p38p

How we measure: moves come from our own MT4 price feed and our archived minute bars, sampled 5, 15 and 60 minutes after each release against the pre-release price. No estimates, no third-party numbers. Releases where our feed had a gap are skipped, never guessed.

What usually happens

conditional history
Beat above consensus Accumulating. Shows after 8 live-captured releases n=0 live
Miss below consensus Accumulating. Shows after 8 live-captured releases n=0 live
In line within the surprise band Accumulating. Shows after 8 live-captured releases n=0 live

These are counts of what happened after past releases, conditional on the surprise direction. They are history, not a forecast, and never a trade recommendation. Sample sizes are shown because small samples mislead; rows stay locked until the sample is honest.

Release history

accumulates every release
DateActualForecastPreviousRevised toEURUSD 1h
Nov 12, 2025+17p
Nov 7, 2025+2.3p
Nov 6, 2025-1.8p
Oct 3, 2025+1.2p
Sep 29, 2025+3.9p
Sep 25, 2025-12p
Sep 22, 2025-5.3p
Sep 4, 2025-11p
Aug 25, 2025+33p
Jul 16, 2025-1.2p
Jun 27, 2025+1.9p
Jun 24, 2025+9.9p
May 28, 2025-2.2p
May 22, 2025+10p
May 19, 2025-14p
May 18, 2025+14p
May 9, 2025-3.0p
May 9, 2025+9.4p
Apr 11, 2025-15p
Mar 25, 2025-14p
Mar 21, 2025+1.5p
Mar 7, 2025+9.8p
Mar 4, 2025+30p
Feb 11, 2025-0.1p

Showing the latest 24 of 200 tracked releases.

Reaction = EURUSD move 60 minutes after the release, measured from our own price history. Story links appear for releases our news desk covered; every release gets a row here whether or not it gets a story. Values from before our live tracking began are the current figures in the official statistical series, so they include later revisions; live rows record the number as printed.

Market statistics, not financial advice. All reaction figures are measured from our own price feed under our published methodology.
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