Germany Factory Orders y/y - ForexCracked
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Euro area

Germany Factory Orders y/y EUR

Medium impact Updated after every release
Next release Thu, Nov 5 07:00 UTC · consensus 6.2% · previous 2.7%  

What this release is

Germany Factory Orders year over year, published monthly by destatis.de, measures new orders received by German manufacturing companies. This business sector data reflects demand for goods produced in Germany, providing insight into the health of the nation’s industrial base.

Forex traders monitor this release as a leading indicator of Germany’s industrial activity and overall economic health. Stronger factory orders can signal future economic growth, potentially influencing the European Central Bank’s monetary policy outlook for the Eurozone and affecting the euro’s valuation. Conversely, weaker orders may suggest slowing economic momentum.

Market participants typically focus on the headline year over year change. Revisions to previous months’ data can also draw attention. After past releases, this indicator has often prompted a noticeable reaction in the euro, reflecting its importance for assessing the Eurozone’s largest economy.

How hard it hits, measured

121 releases · own feed
Typical EURUSD move
5pips / 1h
Median absolute move in the hour after the release
Big-release move
9pips / 1h
Top-quarter releases move at least this much
Largest measured
33pips
Biggest one-hour reaction in our archive
Direction reliability
n/a
Unlocks after 8 live-captured releases with consensus. Measured, never estimated
Pair5 min15 min1 hourBig release (1h)
EURUSD2.3p3.3p5.3p9.0p
EURAUD3.9p5.5p12p18p
EURCAD2.5p3.5p7.2p12p
EURCHF1.6p2.1p4.6p7.9p
EURGBP1.6p2.6p4.3p7.2p
EURJPY4.4p4.5p10p16p
EURNZD4.4p6.1p11p22p

How we measure: moves come from our own MT4 price feed and our archived minute bars, sampled 5, 15 and 60 minutes after each release against the pre-release price. No estimates, no third-party numbers. Releases where our feed had a gap are skipped, never guessed.

What usually happens

conditional history
Beat above consensus EURUSD closed the hour lower in 28 of 49 cases · median -0.9p n=49 live
Miss below consensus EURUSD closed the hour lower in 22 of 43 cases · median -0.4p n=43 live
In line within the surprise band Accumulating. Shows after 8 live-captured releases n=0 live

These are counts of what happened after past releases, conditional on the surprise direction. They are history, not a forecast, and never a trade recommendation. Sample sizes are shown because small samples mislead; rows stay locked until the sample is honest.

Release history

accumulates every release
DateActualForecastPreviousRevised toEURUSD 1h
Oct 6, 20262.7%17.7%13.1%14%-4.0p—
Sep 4, 202613.1%-2.7%6.5%7.2%-0.9p—
Aug 6, 20266.5%—6.2%4.5%——
Jul 6, 20266.2%—1.6%2.1%——
Jun 8, 20261.6%-0.5%6.3%6.1%-3.6p—
May 7, 20266.3%4.3%3.5%—-3.9p—
Apr 8, 20263.5%—3.7%0.3%+4.8p—
Mar 6, 20263.7%14.1%13%11.7%+2.9p—
Feb 5, 202613%7.6%10.5%10.6%+8.5p—
Jan 8, 202610.5%-1.3%-0.7%—-3.7p—
Dec 5, 2025-0.7%-0.6%-4.3%-3.4%+3.7p—
Nov 5, 2025-4.3%1.3%1.5%2.1%-1.0p—
Oct 7, 20251.5%0.1%-3.4%-3.3%-4.9p—
Sep 5, 2025-3.4%0.3%0.8%1.7%-7.5p—
Aug 6, 20250.8%9.5%5.3%6.1%+0.1p—
Jul 4, 20255.3%7.9%4.8%5.8%-2.9p—
Jun 5, 20254.8%-0.9%3.8%3.7%+3.0p—
May 7, 20253.8%-1.7%-0.2%—+8.7p—
Apr 4, 2025-0.2%-1.9%-2.6%0.1%-33p—
Mar 7, 2025-2.6%-2.3%-6.3%-6.9%+6.3p—
Feb 6, 2025-6.3%2.9%-1.7%-1.4%-10p—
Jan 8, 2025-1.7%-3%5.7%—-19p—
Dec 5, 20245.7%-3.7%1%4.2%+9.7p—
Nov 6, 20241%-4.2%-3.9%-3.4%+9.0p—

Showing the latest 24 of 123 tracked releases.

Reaction = EURUSD move 60 minutes after the release, measured from our own price history. Story links appear for releases our news desk covered; every release gets a row here whether or not it gets a story. Values from before our live tracking began are the current figures in the official statistical series, so they include later revisions; live rows record the number as printed.

Market statistics, not financial advice. All reaction figures are measured from our own price feed under our published methodology.
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