Germany GDP q/q - ForexCracked
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Euro area

Germany GDP q/q EUR

High impact Updated after every release

What this release is

Germany GDP q/q, or Gross Domestic Product quarter over quarter, measures the change in the total value of all goods and services produced in the German economy. This key indicator of economic health is published quarterly by Destatis, the national statistics office, with its official source website being destatis.de.

Forex traders closely monitor Germany’s GDP data as it provides a comprehensive view of the country’s economic performance. Stronger than expected growth can signal potential inflationary pressures, which may influence the European Central Bank’s monetary policy decisions. Changes in interest rate expectations can impact the attractiveness of the Euro.

The market typically focuses on the headline GDP growth rate upon release. However, subsequent revisions to preliminary figures can also draw attention, as they provide a more refined picture of economic activity. Due to its significance as a broad economic health check, this release often generates a high level of market interest.

How hard it hits, measured

80 releases · own feed
Typical EURUSD move
7pips / 1h
Median absolute move in the hour after the release
Big-release move
11pips / 1h
Top-quarter releases move at least this much
Largest measured
24pips
Biggest one-hour reaction in our archive
Direction reliability
n/a
Unlocks after 8 live-captured releases with consensus. Measured, never estimated
Pair5 min15 min1 hourBig release (1h)
EURUSD2.1p3.9p7.3p11p
EURAUD2.9p4.2p7.4p16p
EURCAD2.8p4.7p7.1p11p
EURCHF1.2p2.8p4.1p6.8p
EURGBP1.5p2.0p4.7p9.7p
EURJPY3.2p5.2p9.5p15p
EURNZD3.6p4.9p9.4p17p

How we measure: moves come from our own MT4 price feed and our archived minute bars, sampled 5, 15 and 60 minutes after each release against the pre-release price. No estimates, no third-party numbers. Releases where our feed had a gap are skipped, never guessed.

What usually happens

conditional history
Beat above consensus EURUSD closed the hour higher in 12 of 23 cases · median +5.3p n=23 live
Miss below consensus EURUSD closed the hour higher in 14 of 24 cases · median +1.7p n=24 live
In line within the surprise band EURUSD closed the hour lower in 9 of 15 cases · median -5.1p n=15 live

These are counts of what happened after past releases, conditional on the surprise direction. They are history, not a forecast, and never a trade recommendation. Sample sizes are shown because small samples mislead; rows stay locked until the sample is honest.

Release history

accumulates every release
DateActualForecastPreviousRevised toEURUSD 1h
May 22, 20260.3%0.3%0.3%—+0.8p—
Apr 30, 20260.3%0.2%0.3%0.2%+11p—
Feb 25, 20260.3%0.3%0.3%—-8.3p—
Jan 30, 20260.3%-0.4%0%—+19p—
Nov 25, 20250%0%0%—+4.3p—
Oct 30, 20250%-0.2%-0.3%-0.2%-1.0p—
Aug 22, 2025-0.3%-0.1%-0.1%—+1.7p—
Jul 30, 2025-0.1%0.3%0.4%0.3%+6.3p—
May 23, 20250.4%0.2%0.2%—-11p—
Apr 30, 20250.2%0%-0.2%—+7.4p—
Feb 25, 2025-0.2%-0.2%-0.2%—-13p—
Jan 30, 2025-0.2%0.1%0.1%—+9.8p—
Nov 22, 20240.1%0.2%0.2%—+17p—
Oct 30, 20240.2%-0.1%-0.1%-0.3%+5.3p—
Aug 27, 2024-0.1%-0.1%-0.1%—-5.1p—
Jul 30, 2024-0.1%0.1%0.2%—+9.6p—
May 24, 20240.2%0.2%0.2%—+2.4p—
Apr 30, 20240.2%0%-0.3%-0.5%+5.4p—
Feb 23, 2024-0.3%-0.3%-0.3%—+3.8p—
Jan 30, 2024-0.3%0%-0.1%0%+5.0p—
Nov 24, 2023-0.1%-0.1%-0.1%—+0.6p—
Oct 30, 2023-0.1%-0.2%0%0.1%+23p—
Aug 25, 20230%0%0%—-9.0p—
Jul 28, 20230%0.6%-0.3%-0.1%+8.0p—

Showing the latest 24 of 80 tracked releases.

Reaction = EURUSD move 60 minutes after the release, measured from our own price history. Story links appear for releases our news desk covered; every release gets a row here whether or not it gets a story. Values from before our live tracking began are the current figures in the official statistical series, so they include later revisions; live rows record the number as printed.

Market statistics, not financial advice. All reaction figures are measured from our own price feed under our published methodology.
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