Germany S&P Global Manufacturing PMI - ForexCracked
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Euro area

Germany S&P Global Manufacturing PMI EUR

Medium impact Updated after every release

What this release is

The Germany S&P Global Manufacturing PMI is a monthly survey-based indicator that assesses the health of the German manufacturing sector. It is published by S&P Global, with markiteconomics.com serving as the official source website.

Forex traders monitor this release because Germany’s manufacturing output is a significant component of the Eurozone economy. Stronger manufacturing activity can signal economic expansion, which may influence the European Central Bank’s monetary policy decisions. Conversely, weaker data might suggest economic contraction, potentially impacting the euro’s valuation.

This monthly release, which covers the business sector, often generates a medium impact on the market. Traders typically focus on the headline Purchasing Managers’ Index figure. Revisions to previous months’ data are also observed for their implications on economic trends.

How hard it hits, measured

244 releases · own feed
Typical EURUSD move
10pips / 1h
Median absolute move in the hour after the release
Big-release move
18pips / 1h
Top-quarter releases move at least this much
Largest measured
70pips
Biggest one-hour reaction in our archive
Direction reliability
n/a
Unlocks after 8 live-captured releases with consensus. Measured, never estimated
Pair5 min15 min1 hourBig release (1h)
EURUSD3.9p6.1p9.9p18p
EURAUD4.6p7.8p12p20p
EURCAD4.0p6.1p11p18p
EURCHF2.8p3.8p7.1p12p
EURGBP2.5p3.7p7.0p13p
EURJPY5.7p9.4p13p26p
EURNZD4.9p8.5p13p24p

How we measure: moves come from our own MT4 price feed and our archived minute bars, sampled 5, 15 and 60 minutes after each release against the pre-release price. No estimates, no third-party numbers. Releases where our feed had a gap are skipped, never guessed.

What usually happens

conditional history
Beat above consensus EURUSD closed the hour lower in 16 of 30 cases · median -1.2p n=30 live
Miss below consensus EURUSD closed the hour lower in 22 of 30 cases · median -12p n=30 live
In line within the surprise band EURUSD closed the hour higher in 63 of 121 cases · median +1.0p n=121 live

These are counts of what happened after past releases, conditional on the surprise direction. They are history, not a forecast, and never a trade recommendation. Sample sizes are shown because small samples mislead; rows stay locked until the sample is honest.

Release history

accumulates every release
DateActualForecastPreviousRevised toEURUSD 1h
Oct 1, 2026————-20p—
Sep 1, 202654.354.154.1—-1.9p—
Aug 21, 202654.153.652.2—+1.4p—
Aug 3, 202652.252.252.2—-4.1p—
Jul 24, 202652.251.250.3—-9.9p—
Jul 1, 202650.35050—+1.1p—
Jun 23, 20265048.950.1—-30p—
Jun 1, 202650.149.949.9—-4.7p—
May 21, 202649.951.251.4—+37p—
May 4, 202651.451.251.2—+4.0p—
Apr 23, 202651.250.952.2—-0.2p—
Apr 1, 202652.251.751.7—+20p—
Mar 24, 202651.749.450.9—-7.7p—
Mar 2, 202650.950.750.7—+9.2p—
Feb 20, 202650.7—49.1—+12p—
Feb 2, 202649.1—47———
Jan 2, 202647—47.7—-3.8p—
Dec 16, 202547.748.748.2—-6.1p—
Dec 1, 202548.248.448.4—+11p—
Nov 21, 202548.449.549.6—-12p—
Nov 3, 202549.649.649.6—+2.8p—
Oct 24, 202549.6—49.5—+1.5p—
Oct 1, 202549.5—48.5—+1.0p—
Sep 23, 202548.55049.8—+6.7p—

Showing the latest 24 of 200 tracked releases.

Reaction = EURUSD move 60 minutes after the release, measured from our own price history. Story links appear for releases our news desk covered; every release gets a row here whether or not it gets a story. Values from before our live tracking began are the current figures in the official statistical series, so they include later revisions; live rows record the number as printed.

Market statistics, not financial advice. All reaction figures are measured from our own price feed under our published methodology.
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