Germany Unemployment Rate - ForexCracked
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Euro area

Germany Unemployment Rate EUR

Medium impact Updated after every release
Next release Fri, Oct 30 08:55 UTC · consensus 6.4% · previous 6.4%  

What this release is

The Germany Unemployment Rate measures the percentage of the German labor force that is unemployed and actively seeking work. This key labor market indicator is published monthly by the Federal Employment Agency, arbeitsagentur.de. It provides insight into the health and capacity of the labor market within the Eurozone’s largest economy.

Forex traders monitor the Germany Unemployment Rate as a significant indicator of economic health. A lower unemployment rate often signals a robust economy, which can contribute to inflationary pressures. Such conditions may influence the European Central Bank’s monetary policy decisions, potentially impacting the Euro’s valuation.

The market typically reacts to the headline unemployment rate figure. Significant deviations from consensus expectations can lead to immediate market movements. While initial readings are closely watched, subsequent revisions to prior months’ data are also considered for a complete picture of labor market trends. This release is generally associated with a medium impact on the Euro.

How hard it hits, measured

123 releases · own feed
Typical EURUSD move
6pips / 1h
Median absolute move in the hour after the release
Big-release move
13pips / 1h
Top-quarter releases move at least this much
Largest measured
33pips
Biggest one-hour reaction in our archive
Direction reliability
n/a
Unlocks after 8 live-captured releases with consensus. Measured, never estimated
Pair5 min15 min1 hourBig release (1h)
EURUSD2.1p4.0p5.9p13p
EURAUD3.6p5.3p11p18p
EURCAD2.5p4.2p6.7p13p
EURCHF1.4p3.1p5.2p8.7p
EURGBP1.6p2.9p6.6p13p
EURJPY2.9p5.5p10p18p
EURNZD4.2p6.2p13p21p

How we measure: moves come from our own MT4 price feed and our archived minute bars, sampled 5, 15 and 60 minutes after each release against the pre-release price. No estimates, no third-party numbers. Releases where our feed had a gap are skipped, never guessed.

What usually happens

conditional history
Beat above consensus EURUSD closed the hour lower in 8 of 13 cases · median -3.0p n=13 live
Miss below consensus EURUSD closed the hour lower in 5 of 10 cases · median -0.6p n=10 live
In line within the surprise band EURUSD closed the hour lower in 45 of 72 cases · median -2.0p n=72 live

These are counts of what happened after past releases, conditional on the surprise direction. They are history, not a forecast, and never a trade recommendation. Sample sizes are shown because small samples mislead; rows stay locked until the sample is honest.

Release history

accumulates every release
DateActualForecastPreviousRevised toEURUSD 1h
Sep 30, 20266.4%6.4%6.4%—+8.4p—
Aug 28, 20266.4%6.3%6.4%—-2.1p—
Jul 30, 20266.4%6.2%6.3%—+16p—
Jun 30, 20266.3%6.3%6.3%—-9.0p—
May 29, 20266.3%6.4%6.4%—-13p—
Apr 30, 20266.4%6.3%6.3%6.4%+15p—
Apr 1, 20266.3%6.3%6.3%—-0.8p—
Feb 27, 20266.3%6.3%6.3%—-9.9p—
Jan 30, 20266.3%6.3%6.3%—+13p—
Jan 8, 20266.3%6.3%6.3%—+3.0p—
Nov 28, 20256.3%6.3%6.3%—+4.4p—
Oct 30, 20256.3%6.3%6.3%—-9.5p—
Sep 30, 20256.3%6.3%6.3%—+13p—
Aug 29, 20256.3%6.3%6.3%—+1.8p—
Jul 31, 20256.3%6.3%6.3%—-0.5p—
Jul 2, 20256.3%6.3%6.3%—-5.4p—
May 28, 20256.3%6.3%6.3%—-1.2p—
Apr 30, 20256.3%6.3%6.3%6.2%-14p—
Mar 28, 20256.3%6.2%6.2%—-6.6p—
Feb 28, 20256.2%6.2%6.2%—-2.6p—
Jan 31, 20256.2%6.1%6.1%—-3.4p—
Jan 3, 20256.1%6.1%6.1%—+6.2p—
Nov 29, 20246.1%6.1%6.1%—-13p—
Oct 30, 20246.1%6%6%6.1%-2.5p—

Showing the latest 24 of 123 tracked releases.

Reaction = EURUSD move 60 minutes after the release, measured from our own price history. Story links appear for releases our news desk covered; every release gets a row here whether or not it gets a story. Values from before our live tracking began are the current figures in the official statistical series, so they include later revisions; live rows record the number as printed.

Market statistics, not financial advice. All reaction figures are measured from our own price feed under our published methodology.
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