France CPI m/m - ForexCracked
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Euro area

France CPI m/m EUR

Medium impact Updated after every release
Next release Tue, Sep 15 06:45 UTC · consensus 0.7% · previous 0.7%  

What this release is

France’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) month over month measures the average change in prices paid by consumers for a basket of goods and services across the nation. This monthly report, published by France’s national statistics office, insee.fr, provides a key indicator of inflation within the prices sector.

Forex traders closely monitor this inflation data because it offers insights into the economic health of the Eurozone’s second-largest economy. Persistent price changes can influence the European Central Bank’s monetary policy decisions, particularly regarding interest rates. Higher or lower inflation trends in France can contribute to the broader economic outlook for the Euro currency.

Upon release, the headline CPI figure typically captures immediate market attention, as it can prompt notable market movements for the Euro. Traders also consider any revisions to previous month’s data, which can provide further context on underlying price trends. This monthly report is a regular fixture on the economic calendar.

How hard it hits, measured

243 releases · own feed
Typical EURUSD move
8pips / 1h
Median absolute move in the hour after the release
Big-release move
15pips / 1h
Top-quarter releases move at least this much
Largest measured
41pips
Biggest one-hour reaction in our archive
Direction reliability
n/a
Unlocks after 8 live-captured releases with consensus. Measured, never estimated
Pair5 min15 min1 hourBig release (1h)
EURUSD1.7p3.8p8.1p15p
EURAUD3.1p5.1p14p22p
EURCAD2.5p4.2p8.9p17p
EURCHF1.5p2.6p6.0p10p
EURGBP1.7p2.4p5.8p11p
EURJPY2.8p4.9p12p22p
EURNZD3.5p6.4p14p26p

How we measure: moves come from our own MT4 price feed and our archived minute bars, sampled 5, 15 and 60 minutes after each release against the pre-release price. No estimates, no third-party numbers. Releases where our feed had a gap are skipped, never guessed.

What usually happens

conditional history
Beat above consensus EURUSD closed the hour higher in 37 of 68 cases · median +0.9p n=68 live
Miss below consensus EURUSD closed the hour higher in 31 of 58 cases · median +1.8p n=58 live
In line within the surprise band EURUSD closed the hour higher in 32 of 58 cases · median +0.9p n=58 live

These are counts of what happened after past releases, conditional on the surprise direction. They are history, not a forecast, and never a trade recommendation. Sample sizes are shown because small samples mislead; rows stay locked until the sample is honest.

Release history

accumulates every release
DateActualForecastPreviousRevised toEURUSD 1h
Aug 28, 20260.7%0.3%0.6%—-2.6p—
Aug 14, 20260.6%0.6%0.6%—+5.7p—
Jul 31, 20260.6%-0.2%-0.3%—+5.1p—
Jul 10, 2026-0.3%-0.2%-0.2%—-0.3p—
Jun 30, 2026-0.2%0.2%0.1%—+7.1p—
Jun 12, 20260.1%0.1%0.1%—-8.1p—
May 29, 20260.1%0.7%1%—-6.0p—
May 13, 20261%1%1%—-12p—
Apr 30, 20261%0.3%1%—+11p—
Apr 15, 20261%—0.9%—+2.7p—
Mar 31, 20260.9%1.5%0.6%—+1.9p—
Mar 13, 20260.6%—0.7%—-23p—
Feb 27, 20260.7%-0.5%-0.3%—+1.0p—
Feb 18, 2026-0.3%—-0.3%—-5.8p—
Feb 3, 2026-0.3%-0.4%0.1%—-8.1p—
Jan 15, 20260.1%0.1%0.1%—+2.6p—
Jan 6, 20260.1%-0.2%-0.2%—-8.8p—
Dec 12, 2025-0.2%-0.1%-0.1%—-2.7p—
Nov 28, 2025-0.1%-0.2%0.1%—-13p—
Nov 14, 20250.1%0.1%0.1%—-7.0p—
Oct 31, 20250.1%-0.7%-1%—+9.2p—
Oct 15, 2025-1%-1%-1%—+9.3p—
Sep 30, 2025-1%0.3%0.4%—-2.3p—
Sep 12, 20250.4%0.4%0.4%—+7.1p—

Showing the latest 24 of 200 tracked releases.

Reaction = EURUSD move 60 minutes after the release, measured from our own price history. Story links appear for releases our news desk covered; every release gets a row here whether or not it gets a story. Values from before our live tracking began are the current figures in the official statistical series, so they include later revisions; live rows record the number as printed.

Market statistics, not financial advice. All reaction figures are measured from our own price feed under our published methodology.
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