France S&P Global Manufacturing PMI - ForexCracked
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Euro area

France S&P Global Manufacturing PMI EUR

Medium impact Updated after every release

What this release is

The France S&P Global Manufacturing PMI, published monthly by S&P Global via markiteconomics.com, is a key indicator of business conditions within the French manufacturing sector. It surveys purchasing managers on various aspects of their operations, providing a timely snapshot of the sector’s health.

Forex traders monitor this release for insights into the economic momentum of France, a significant component of the Eurozone economy. Stronger manufacturing activity can signal broader economic growth, potentially influencing expectations for the European Central Bank’s monetary policy and, consequently, the Euro’s valuation.

After past releases, market attention typically focuses on the headline figure, with revisions to prior readings also watched. This monthly indicator carries a medium impact rating, reflecting its role in assessing the overall economic landscape without being a primary driver of immediate market shifts.

How hard it hits, measured

244 releases · own feed
Typical EURUSD move
9pips / 1h
Median absolute move in the hour after the release
Big-release move
17pips / 1h
Top-quarter releases move at least this much
Largest measured
156pips
Biggest one-hour reaction in our archive
Direction reliability
n/a
Unlocks after 8 live-captured releases with consensus. Measured, never estimated
Pair5 min15 min1 hourBig release (1h)
EURUSD3.2p4.9p9.4p17p
EURAUD4.8p6.8p14p23p
EURCAD3.6p5.9p11p18p
EURCHF2.1p3.3p7.8p12p
EURGBP2.0p3.5p7.4p14p
EURJPY4.6p6.3p14p28p
EURNZD4.4p7.5p17p26p

How we measure: moves come from our own MT4 price feed and our archived minute bars, sampled 5, 15 and 60 minutes after each release against the pre-release price. No estimates, no third-party numbers. Releases where our feed had a gap are skipped, never guessed.

What usually happens

conditional history
Beat above consensus EURUSD closed the hour higher in 18 of 32 cases · median +4.3p n=32 live
Miss below consensus EURUSD closed the hour lower in 19 of 27 cases · median -9.3p n=27 live
In line within the surprise band EURUSD closed the hour higher in 62 of 121 cases · median +0.5p n=121 live

These are counts of what happened after past releases, conditional on the surprise direction. They are history, not a forecast, and never a trade recommendation. Sample sizes are shown because small samples mislead; rows stay locked until the sample is honest.

Release history

accumulates every release
DateActualForecastPreviousRevised toEURUSD 1h
Oct 1, 2026————-16p—
Sep 1, 202651.151.551.5—-1.1p—
Aug 21, 202651.550.149.8—-1.5p—
Aug 3, 202649.85050—-1.2p—
Jul 24, 2026505051.2—-6.0p—
Jul 1, 202651.250.750.7—+0.5p—
Jun 23, 202650.749.749.7—-17p—
Jun 1, 202649.748.948.9—+2.3p—
May 21, 202648.950.452.8—+7.9p—
May 4, 202652.852.852.8—+1.5p—
Apr 23, 202652.848.850—-1.7p—
Apr 1, 20265050.250.2—+25p—
Mar 24, 202650.248.850.1—-18p—
Mar 2, 202650.149.949.9—+21p—
Feb 20, 202649.9—50.7—+18p—
Jan 2, 202650.7—50.6—+0.4p—
Dec 16, 202550.648.247.8—-1.4p—
Dec 1, 202547.847.847.8—+9.6p—
Nov 21, 202547.849.348.8—-9.3p—
Nov 3, 202548.848.348.3—+2.8p—
Oct 24, 202548.3—48.2—+2.8p—
Oct 1, 202548.2—48.1—+6.9p—
Sep 23, 202548.15050.4—-3.7p—
Sep 1, 202550.449.949.9—+14p—

Showing the latest 24 of 200 tracked releases.

Reaction = EURUSD move 60 minutes after the release, measured from our own price history. Story links appear for releases our news desk covered; every release gets a row here whether or not it gets a story. Values from before our live tracking began are the current figures in the official statistical series, so they include later revisions; live rows record the number as printed.

Market statistics, not financial advice. All reaction figures are measured from our own price feed under our published methodology.
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