S&P Global Manufacturing PMI - ForexCracked
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Euro area

S&P Global Manufacturing PMI EUR

Medium impact Updated after every release
Next release Wed, Sep 23 08:00 UTC · consensus 53 · previous 52.7  

What this release is

The S&P Global Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) for the Eurozone is a monthly survey-based indicator. Published by S&P Global, it assesses the economic health and activity levels within the manufacturing sector across the Euro area. It is derived from responses by purchasing managers regarding new orders, output, employment, and inventories.

Forex traders monitor this release as manufacturing sector performance is a key component of overall economic growth. Stronger manufacturing activity can suggest a healthier economy, potentially influencing the European Central Bank’s monetary policy outlook. Changes in policy expectations can affect the Euro’s valuation.

Market attention typically focuses on the headline PMI figure. Initial flash estimates are often released first, followed by a final reading. Revisions between these estimates can sometimes lead to further market adjustments. The release provides a timely gauge of business conditions each month.

How hard it hits, measured

242 releases · own feed
Typical EURUSD move
7pips / 1h
Median absolute move in the hour after the release
Big-release move
13pips / 1h
Top-quarter releases move at least this much
Largest measured
54pips
Biggest one-hour reaction in our archive
Direction reliability
n/a
Unlocks after 8 live-captured releases with consensus. Measured, never estimated
Pair5 min15 min1 hourBig release (1h)
EURUSD3.2p4.1p7.4p13p
EURAUD3.6p6.0p11p19p
EURCAD3.2p4.8p8.7p15p
EURCHF2.1p3.2p5.9p10p
EURGBP1.5p2.8p7.4p13p
EURJPY3.8p5.6p9.2p18p
EURNZD3.8p6.2p13p21p

How we measure: moves come from our own MT4 price feed and our archived minute bars, sampled 5, 15 and 60 minutes after each release against the pre-release price. No estimates, no third-party numbers. Releases where our feed had a gap are skipped, never guessed.

What usually happens

conditional history
Beat above consensus EURUSD closed the hour lower in 12 of 22 cases · median -1.4p n=22 live
Miss below consensus EURUSD closed the hour higher in 17 of 25 cases · median +3.5p n=25 live
In line within the surprise band EURUSD closed the hour lower in 87 of 171 cases · median -0.3p n=171 live

These are counts of what happened after past releases, conditional on the surprise direction. They are history, not a forecast, and never a trade recommendation. Sample sizes are shown because small samples mislead; rows stay locked until the sample is honest.

Release history

accumulates every release
DateActualForecastPreviousRevised toEURUSD 1h
Sep 1, 202652.752.852.8-1.1p
Aug 21, 202652.852.451.9+14p
Aug 3, 202651.95252-2.9p
Jul 24, 20265250.951.4-6.4p
Jul 1, 202651.451.351.3-5.9p
Jun 23, 202651.351.451.6-3.5p
Jun 1, 202651.651.451.4+1.1p
May 21, 202651.452.152.2+17p
May 4, 202652.252.252.2+1.3p
Apr 23, 202652.250.651.6-0.8p
Apr 1, 202651.651.451.4+14p
Mar 24, 202651.450.150.8+6.7p
Mar 2, 202650.850.850.8+11p
Feb 20, 202650.848.8+5.9p
Jan 2, 202648.849.2-7.2p
Dec 16, 202549.249.849.6+1.8p
Dec 1, 202549.649.749.7+8.9p
Nov 21, 202549.750.150-15p
Nov 3, 2025505050+1.0p
Oct 24, 20255049.8-7.9p
Oct 1, 202549.849.5-0.6p
Sep 23, 202549.550.950.7+12p
Sep 1, 202550.750.550.5+10p
Aug 21, 202550.549.949.8-3.2p

Showing the latest 24 of 200 tracked releases.

Reaction = EURUSD move 60 minutes after the release, measured from our own price history. Story links appear for releases our news desk covered; every release gets a row here whether or not it gets a story. Values from before our live tracking began are the current figures in the official statistical series, so they include later revisions; live rows record the number as printed.

Market statistics, not financial advice. All reaction figures are measured from our own price feed under our published methodology.
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