S&P Global Services PMI - ForexCracked
Euro area

S&P Global Services PMI EUR

Medium impact Updated after every release

What this release is

The S&P Global Services Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) for the Eurozone is a monthly survey that assesses the health and activity of the business services sector. Published by S&P Global, with official data available from markiteconomics.com, this index provides insights into economic conditions through metrics like new orders, employment, and business expectations.

Forex traders watch this release as an indicator of Eurozone economic strength. Stronger services sector performance can influence the European Central Bank’s monetary policy decisions, potentially affecting the Euro’s value. Conversely, weaker data may suggest a different policy path.

The market typically focuses on the headline PMI figure upon its release. Revisions to prior months’ data can also draw attention, as they provide updated perspectives on past economic performance. The impact on the Euro often depends on how the actual figure deviates from market expectations.

How hard it hits, measured

244 releases · own feed
Typical EURUSD move
7pips / 1h
Median absolute move in the hour after the release
Big-release move
13pips / 1h
Top-quarter releases move at least this much
Largest measured
68pips
Biggest one-hour reaction in our archive
Direction reliability
n/a
Unlocks after 8 live-captured releases with consensus. Measured, never estimated
Pair5 min15 min1 hourBig release (1h)
EURUSD2.9p4.2p7.0p13p
EURAUD3.6p6.1p11p20p
EURCAD3.4p4.9p8.5p16p
EURCHF2.1p3.2p5.2p9.4p
EURGBP1.5p2.8p8.0p14p
EURJPY4.1p6.1p8.9p18p
EURNZD4.1p5.9p13p21p

How we measure: moves come from our own MT4 price feed and our archived minute bars, sampled 5, 15 and 60 minutes after each release against the pre-release price. No estimates, no third-party numbers. Releases where our feed had a gap are skipped, never guessed.

What usually happens

conditional history
Beat above consensus EURUSD closed the hour lower in 23 of 36 cases · median -3.1p n=36 live
Miss below consensus EURUSD closed the hour lower in 17 of 33 cases · median -0.8p n=33 live
In line within the surprise band EURUSD closed the hour higher in 81 of 149 cases · median +1.4p n=149 live

These are counts of what happened after past releases, conditional on the surprise direction. They are history, not a forecast, and never a trade recommendation. Sample sizes are shown because small samples mislead; rows stay locked until the sample is honest.

Release history

accumulates every release
DateActualForecastPreviousRevised toEURUSD 1h
Oct 5, 2026————+6.1p—
Sep 3, 202651.651.751.7—+4.8p—
Aug 21, 202651.753.751.7—+14p—
Aug 5, 202651.751.651.6—-2.3p—
Jul 24, 202651.651.149.4—-6.4p—
Jul 3, 202649.448.948.9———
Jun 23, 202648.947.747.7—-3.5p—
Jun 3, 202647.746.446.4—-8.2p—
May 21, 202646.446.747.6—+17p—
May 6, 202647.647.447.4—+25p—
Apr 23, 202647.450.150.2—-0.8p—
Apr 7, 202650.250.150.1—+31p—
Mar 24, 202650.150.951.9—+6.7p—
Mar 4, 202651.951.851.8—+9.1p—
Feb 20, 202651.8—52.4—+5.9p—
Jan 6, 202652.4—52.6—-15p—
Dec 16, 202552.653.353.6—+1.8p—
Dec 3, 202553.653.153.1—+1.7p—
Nov 21, 202553.15253—-15p—
Nov 5, 20255352.652.6—-4.2p—
Oct 24, 202552.650.651.3—-7.9p—
Oct 3, 202551.3—51.4—+7.9p—
Sep 23, 202551.450.950.5—+12p—
Sep 3, 202550.550.750.7—+21p—

Showing the latest 24 of 200 tracked releases.

Reaction = EURUSD move 60 minutes after the release, measured from our own price history. Story links appear for releases our news desk covered; every release gets a row here whether or not it gets a story. Values from before our live tracking began are the current figures in the official statistical series, so they include later revisions; live rows record the number as printed.

Market statistics, not financial advice. All reaction figures are measured from our own price feed under our published methodology.
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