CB Consumer Confidence Index - ForexCracked
0.04 pip average spreads, measured over a full month of live data. Unrestricted EAs and a free MT5 virtual server.Open an accountOpen
United States

CB Consumer Confidence Index USD

High impact Updated after every release
Next release Tue, Sep 29 14:00 UTC · consensus 89.4 · previous 89.4  

What this release is

The CB Consumer Confidence Index measures the level of consumer optimism regarding the current and future state of the economy. It assesses consumer attitudes toward business conditions, employment prospects, and income expectations. This monthly report is published by The Conference Board.

Forex traders monitor this index closely because consumer sentiment is a key indicator of future consumer spending. Strong consumer spending typically contributes to economic growth and can influence inflation trends. These factors are important considerations for the central bank when setting monetary policy, which in turn affects the US dollar’s valuation.

The release of the CB Consumer Confidence Index is typically a high impact event for the US dollar. Markets often react to the headline figure, interpreting significant changes as potential shifts in economic momentum. After past releases, unexpected deviations from expectations have often led to notable volatility in USD currency pairs.

How hard it hits, measured

122 releases · own feed
Typical EURUSD move
11pips / 1h
Median absolute move in the hour after the release
Big-release move
17pips / 1h
Top-quarter releases move at least this much
Largest measured
119pips
Biggest one-hour reaction in our archive
Direction reliability
n/a
Unlocks after 8 live-captured releases with consensus. Measured, never estimated
Pair5 min15 min1 hourBig release (1h)
EURUSD4.7p5.4p11p17p
AUDUSD2.7p4.1p6.6p14p
GBPUSD5.4p6.9p14p23p
NZDUSD3.0p3.8p5.6p9.7p
USDCAD4.1p6.5p11p24p
USDCHF3.6p4.7p9.4p17p
USDJPY6.2p6.4p9.6p20p
XAUUSD13p19p33p57p

How we measure: moves come from our own MT4 price feed and our archived minute bars, sampled 5, 15 and 60 minutes after each release against the pre-release price. No estimates, no third-party numbers. Releases where our feed had a gap are skipped, never guessed.

What usually happens

conditional history
Beat above consensus EURUSD closed the hour higher in 19 of 37 cases · median +0.2p n=37 live
Miss below consensus EURUSD closed the hour lower in 29 of 42 cases · median -7.3p n=42 live
In line within the surprise band EURUSD closed the hour lower in 21 of 33 cases · median -1.7p n=33 live

These are counts of what happened after past releases, conditional on the surprise direction. They are history, not a forecast, and never a trade recommendation. Sample sizes are shown because small samples mislead; rows stay locked until the sample is honest.

Release history

accumulates every release
DateActualForecastPreviousRevised toEURUSD 1h
Aug 25, 202689.491.890.890.2-3.6p
Jul 28, 202690.889.591.292.2+14p
Jun 30, 202691.288.893.190.6+37p
May 26, 202693.199.792.893.8-0.7p
Apr 28, 202692.89991.892.2+3.7p
Mar 31, 202691.898.291.291-12p
Feb 24, 202691.291.884.589-0.5p
Jan 27, 202684.586.889.194.2+7.2p
Dec 23, 202589.183.488.792.9+4.8p
Nov 25, 202588.788.194.695.5-4.2p
Oct 28, 202594.693.594.295.6+21p
Sep 30, 202594.2100.797.497.8+20p
Aug 26, 202597.4105.897.298.7+4.0p
Jul 29, 202597.298.89395.2-23p
Jun 24, 20259388.49898.4+25p
May 27, 20259898.88685.7-17p
Apr 29, 20258666.654.6133.5-18p
Mar 25, 202554.6101.598.352.6-4.3p
Feb 25, 202598.398.3104.1136.5-3.9p
Jan 28, 2025104.1105.2104.79.7-7.5p
Dec 23, 2024104.7115.9111.7140.2-2.4p
Nov 26, 2024111.7109.3108.7109.6-24p
Oct 29, 2024108.798.998.799.2+13p
Sep 24, 202498.7101.8103.3105.6+12p

Showing the latest 24 of 122 tracked releases.

Reaction = EURUSD move 60 minutes after the release, measured from our own price history. Story links appear for releases our news desk covered; every release gets a row here whether or not it gets a story. Values from before our live tracking began are the current figures in the official statistical series, so they include later revisions; live rows record the number as printed.

Market statistics, not financial advice. All reaction figures are measured from our own price feed under our published methodology.
← Back to the economic calendar