CFTC Nasdaq 100 Non-Commercial Net Positions - ForexCracked
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CFTC Nasdaq 100 Non-Commercial Net Positions USD

Medium impact Updated after every release
Next release Fri, Sep 11 19:30 UTC · consensus TBA · previous 25.9K  

What this release is

The CFTC Nasdaq 100 Non-Commercial Net Positions report, published weekly by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (cftc.gov), measures the net speculative positions held by non-commercial traders in Nasdaq 100 futures contracts. This market sector data reflects the sentiment of large speculators towards the Nasdaq 100 index, expressed in US dollars.

Forex traders monitor these positions as a gauge of broader sentiment towards US technology stocks and the US economy. Significant shifts in speculative interest can signal changes in risk appetite or expectations for US asset performance. Such changes can indirectly influence demand for the US dollar, as investors adjust their exposure to dollar-denominated assets.

The market typically focuses on the week-over-week change in net positions to assess the directional shift in speculative interest. A growing net long position suggests increasing bullishness, while a growing net short position indicates growing bearishness. This release typically has a medium impact on market sentiment.

How hard it hits, measured

361 releases · own feed
Typical EURUSD move
3pips / 1h
Median absolute move in the hour after the release
Big-release move
6pips / 1h
Top-quarter releases move at least this much
Largest measured
45pips
Biggest one-hour reaction in our archive
Direction reliability
n/a
Unlocks after 8 live-captured releases with consensus. Measured, never estimated
Pair5 min15 min1 hourBig release (1h)
EURUSD0.9p1.6p3.1p6.3p
AUDUSD0.9p1.5p2.5p5.0p
GBPUSD1.1p2.0p4.1p7.8p
NZDUSD0.9p1.3p2.7p4.8p
USDCAD1.4p2.4p4.7p8.2p
USDCHF0.8p1.5p2.9p5.4p
USDJPY1.0p1.7p3.1p5.9p
XAUUSD4.6p7.4p12p27p

How we measure: moves come from our own MT4 price feed and our archived minute bars, sampled 5, 15 and 60 minutes after each release against the pre-release price. No estimates, no third-party numbers. Releases where our feed had a gap are skipped, never guessed.

What usually happens

conditional history
Beat above consensus Accumulating. Shows after 8 live-captured releases n=0 live
Miss below consensus Accumulating. Shows after 8 live-captured releases n=0 live
In line within the surprise band Accumulating. Shows after 8 live-captured releases n=0 live

These are counts of what happened after past releases, conditional on the surprise direction. They are history, not a forecast, and never a trade recommendation. Sample sizes are shown because small samples mislead; rows stay locked until the sample is honest.

Release history

accumulates every release
DateActualForecastPreviousRevised toEURUSD 1h
Sep 4, 202625.9K10K-1.4p
Aug 28, 202610K-10.4K-1.2p
Aug 21, 2026-10.4K-39.3K-2.7p
Aug 14, 2026-39.3K-14.6K+0.8p
Aug 7, 2026-14.6K4.9K-12p
Jul 31, 20264.9K4.5K+4.9p
Jul 24, 20264.5K2.7K0.0p
Jul 17, 20262.7K2.1K+1.8p
Jul 10, 20262.1K-7.6K-2.1p
Jul 6, 2026-7.6K-9.1K+2.4p
Jun 26, 2026-9.1K-8.9K+8.2p
Jun 22, 2026-8.9K-1.3K+6.5p
Jun 12, 2026-1.3K-14.9K-6.6p
Jun 5, 2026-14.9K-6.1K+1.6p
May 29, 2026-6.1K-1.4K-6.6p
May 22, 2026-1.4K-16K-4.4p
May 15, 2026-16K1.2K-0.7p
May 8, 20261.2K-2.3K+2.0p
May 1, 2026-2.3K9.4K-5.9p
Apr 24, 20269.4K10.8K+1.3p
Apr 17, 202610.8K12.5K-11p
Apr 10, 202612.5K20.6K+0.5p
Apr 3, 202620.6K6.6K-0.3p
Mar 27, 20266.6K24.1K+0.5p

Showing the latest 24 of 200 tracked releases.

Reaction = EURUSD move 60 minutes after the release, measured from our own price history. Story links appear for releases our news desk covered; every release gets a row here whether or not it gets a story. Values from before our live tracking began are the current figures in the official statistical series, so they include later revisions; live rows record the number as printed.

Market statistics, not financial advice. All reaction figures are measured from our own price feed under our published methodology.
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