EIA Cushing Crude Oil Stocks Change - ForexCracked
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United States

EIA Cushing Crude Oil Stocks Change USD

Medium impact Updated after every release
Next release Thu, Sep 10 16:00 UTC · consensus 0.823M · previous 0.08M  

What this release is

The EIA Cushing Crude Oil Stocks Change report, published weekly by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (eia.gov), measures the net change in crude oil inventories held at the storage hub in Cushing, Oklahoma. This business sector release provides insight into the supply and demand dynamics of crude oil within the United States.

Forex traders monitor this release because crude oil is a globally traded commodity, predominantly priced in U.S. dollars. Significant shifts in crude oil stock levels at a major hub like Cushing can signal changes in overall U.S. economic activity or energy demand. Such signals may influence perceptions of the U.S. dollar’s value, as a stronger or weaker U.S. economy can affect the currency.

After past releases, market participants typically focus on the headline figure, assessing whether the change in stocks is larger or smaller than anticipated. The market’s reaction can reflect immediate shifts in supply or demand expectations. The typical impact rating for this series is considered medium, indicating it can prompt noticeable, though not always sustained, movements in currency pairs involving the USD.

How hard it hits, measured

528 releases · own feed
Typical EURUSD move
8pips / 1h
Median absolute move in the hour after the release
Big-release move
14pips / 1h
Top-quarter releases move at least this much
Largest measured
116pips
Biggest one-hour reaction in our archive
Direction reliability
n/a
Unlocks after 8 live-captured releases with consensus. Measured, never estimated
Pair5 min15 min1 hourBig release (1h)
EURUSD2.5p4.4p7.9p14p
AUDUSD2.1p3.5p6.8p12p
GBPUSD3.9p5.9p11p19p
NZDUSD1.9p3.3p6.1p10p
USDCAD4.0p6.3p10p18p
USDCHF2.3p4.0p6.8p12p
USDJPY2.7p4.1p8.2p15p
XAUUSD8.0p13p22p46p

How we measure: moves come from our own MT4 price feed and our archived minute bars, sampled 5, 15 and 60 minutes after each release against the pre-release price. No estimates, no third-party numbers. Releases where our feed had a gap are skipped, never guessed.

What usually happens

conditional history
Beat above consensus EURUSD closed the hour lower in 111 of 220 cases · median -0.3p n=220 live
Miss below consensus EURUSD closed the hour higher in 131 of 239 cases · median +1.3p n=239 live
In line within the surprise band Accumulating. Shows after 8 live-captured releases n=3 live

These are counts of what happened after past releases, conditional on the surprise direction. They are history, not a forecast, and never a trade recommendation. Sample sizes are shown because small samples mislead; rows stay locked until the sample is honest.

Release history

accumulates every release
DateActualForecastPreviousRevised toEURUSD 1h
Sep 2, 20260.08M-1.042M1.176M+2.4p
Aug 26, 20261.176M-1.447M-1.314M+8.4p
Aug 19, 2026-1.314M0.919M1.611M-12p
Aug 12, 20261.611M0.744M2.356M-8.9p
Aug 5, 20262.356M0.417M-0.771M-4.6p
Jul 29, 2026-0.771M0.614M-0.674M-15p
Jul 22, 2026-0.674M0.992M0.43M+1.9p
Jul 15, 20260.43M0.557M-0.052M+6.6p
Jul 8, 2026-0.052M0.241M0.709M
Jul 1, 20260.709M-0.2M-1.077M+0.7p
Jun 24, 2026-1.077M-0.499M-1.606M+11p
Jun 17, 2026-1.606M-0.879M-0.801M0.0p
Jun 10, 2026-0.801M-1.357M-0.583M-2.5p
Jun 3, 2026-0.583M-0.582M-2.794M+3.7p
May 28, 2026-2.794M-1.069M-1.604M+8.7p
May 20, 2026-1.604M-0.628M-1.702M+12p
May 13, 2026-1.702M-0.338M-0.648M+0.8p
May 6, 2026-0.648M-0.452M-0.796M+6.2p
Apr 29, 2026-0.796M0.045M0.806M+1.7p
Apr 22, 20260.806M0.076M-1.727M-12p
Apr 15, 2026-1.727M0.119M0.024M+4.8p
Apr 8, 20260.024M-0.078M0.52M-8.9p
Apr 1, 20260.52M1.367M3.421M-8.0p
Mar 25, 20263.421M-0.108M0.944M-6.6p

Showing the latest 24 of 200 tracked releases.

Reaction = EURUSD move 60 minutes after the release, measured from our own price history. Story links appear for releases our news desk covered; every release gets a row here whether or not it gets a story. Values from before our live tracking began are the current figures in the official statistical series, so they include later revisions; live rows record the number as printed.

Market statistics, not financial advice. All reaction figures are measured from our own price feed under our published methodology.
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