United States

Fed Consumer Credit m/m USD

Medium impact Updated after every release
Next release Fri, Nov 6 20:00 UTC · consensus 11.36B · previous 8.28B  

What this release is

The Fed Consumer Credit report, published monthly by the Federal Reserve at federalreserve.gov, tracks the total amount of outstanding consumer credit in the economy. This includes revolving credit, like credit cards, and non-revolving credit, such as auto loans and student loans, excluding mortgages. It provides a broad overview of borrowing trends within the consumer sector.

Forex traders monitor this data as it offers insights into household financial health and spending capacity. Rising consumer credit can suggest increased consumer confidence and future spending, which are key drivers of economic growth. Such trends can influence the central bank’s outlook on monetary policy and interest rates, impacting the US dollar.

After past releases, the market typically focuses on the headline month over month change. Revisions to prior months’ data are also observed for their implications on trends. This release, with its typical medium impact rating, is generally digested by the market shortly after its publication.

How hard it hits, measured

123 releases · own feed
Typical EURUSD move
3pips / 1h
Median absolute move in the hour after the release
Big-release move
7pips / 1h
Top-quarter releases move at least this much
Largest measured
32pips
Biggest one-hour reaction in our archive
Direction reliability
n/a
Unlocks after 8 live-captured releases with consensus. Measured, never estimated
Pair5 min15 min1 hourBig release (1h)
EURUSD1.2p2.0p3.4p7.2p
AUDUSD1.1p1.9p3.7p6.4p
GBPUSD1.6p2.4p4.6p7.5p
NZDUSD1.2p1.7p2.9p5.7p
USDCAD1.8p3.1p5.8p9.5p
USDCHF1.4p1.6p3.5p7.1p
USDJPY1.6p2.6p3.6p9.5p
XAUUSD4.7p6.6p12p28p

How we measure: moves come from our own MT4 price feed and our archived minute bars, sampled 5, 15 and 60 minutes after each release against the pre-release price. No estimates, no third-party numbers. Releases where our feed had a gap are skipped, never guessed.

What usually happens

conditional history
Beat above consensus EURUSD closed the hour lower in 26 of 51 cases · median -0.2p n=51 live
Miss below consensus EURUSD closed the hour higher in 30 of 56 cases · median +0.4p n=56 live
In line within the surprise band Accumulating. Shows after 8 live-captured releases n=5 live

These are counts of what happened after past releases, conditional on the surprise direction. They are history, not a forecast, and never a trade recommendation. Sample sizes are shown because small samples mislead; rows stay locked until the sample is honest.

Release history

accumulates every release
DateActualForecastPreviousRevised toEURUSD 1h
Oct 7, 20268.28B10.79B18.06B17.74B-3.0p—
Sep 8, 202618.06B11.28B14.17B14.56B-5.6p—
Aug 7, 202614.17B11.44B-0.18B-1.08B-2.5p—
Jul 8, 2026-0.18B11.7B20.73B20.82B+2.7p—
Jun 5, 202620.73B11.3B24.86B22.23B+2.3p—
May 7, 202624.86B11.12B9.48B8.84B-16p—
Apr 7, 20269.48B11.2B8.05B7.66B+20p—
Mar 6, 20268.05B11.25B24.05B25.2B+4.6p—
Feb 6, 202624.05B10.99B4.23B4.7B+3.0p—
Jan 8, 20264.23B11.03B9.18B9.24B+0.9p—
Dec 5, 20259.18B11.43B13.09B11.01B+1.0p—
Nov 7, 202513.09B11.78B0.36B3.13B+4.7p—
Oct 7, 20250.36B11.24B16.01B18.05B-7.6p—
Sep 8, 202516.01B11.14B7.37B-4.28B+1.3p—
Aug 7, 20257.37B11.26B5.1B5.13B+32p—
Jul 8, 20255.1B13.27B17.87B16.87B-0.9p—
Jun 6, 202517.87B13.3B10.17B-3.4B-0.9p—
May 7, 202510.17B13.26B-0.81B-0.61B-27p—
Apr 7, 2025-0.81B13.12B18.08B8.9B-18p—
Mar 7, 202518.08B29.71B40.85B-100B+4.7p—
Feb 7, 202540.85B10.84B-7.49B-5.37B-4.5p—
Jan 8, 2025-7.49B11.31B19.24B17.32B+7.0p—
Dec 6, 202419.24B14.68B6B3.21B+9.1p—
Nov 7, 20246B16.27B8.93B7.64B+21p—

Showing the latest 24 of 123 tracked releases.

Reaction = EURUSD move 60 minutes after the release, measured from our own price history. Story links appear for releases our news desk covered; every release gets a row here whether or not it gets a story. Values from before our live tracking began are the current figures in the official statistical series, so they include later revisions; live rows record the number as printed.

Market statistics, not financial advice. All reaction figures are measured from our own price feed under our published methodology.
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