Germany Unemployment - ForexCracked
Euro area

Germany Unemployment EUR

Medium impact Updated after every release
Next release Fri, Oct 30 08:55 UTC · consensus 3.004M · previous 3.012M  

What this release is

The Germany Unemployment release offers a monthly overview of the German labor market. Published by arbeitsagentur.de, it details the number of unemployed individuals and the unemployment rate, providing insight into the nation’s employment situation within the broader labour market sector.

Forex traders monitor this data as a key indicator of German economic health. A robust labor market can suggest economic expansion, potentially influencing inflation trends and the European Central Bank’s monetary policy outlook. Shifts in these expectations can affect the euro’s valuation.

Market participants typically focus on the headline unemployment rate and the change in unemployment figures. Revisions to prior months’ data are also observed. This monthly release can prompt notable market movements, reflecting its importance to the economic narrative.

How hard it hits, measured

123 releases · own feed
Typical EURUSD move
6pips / 1h
Median absolute move in the hour after the release
Big-release move
13pips / 1h
Top-quarter releases move at least this much
Largest measured
33pips
Biggest one-hour reaction in our archive
Direction reliability
n/a
Unlocks after 8 live-captured releases with consensus. Measured, never estimated
Pair5 min15 min1 hourBig release (1h)
EURUSD2.1p3.7p5.5p13p
EURAUD3.8p5.0p11p19p
EURCAD2.5p4.3p6.6p13p
EURCHF1.3p2.9p4.9p8.3p
EURGBP1.6p2.9p6.9p13p
EURJPY3.0p5.5p10p20p
EURNZD4.3p6.2p13p22p

How we measure: moves come from our own MT4 price feed and our archived minute bars, sampled 5, 15 and 60 minutes after each release against the pre-release price. No estimates, no third-party numbers. Releases where our feed had a gap are skipped, never guessed.

What usually happens

conditional history
Beat above consensus Accumulating. Shows after 8 live-captured releases n=7 live
Miss below consensus EURUSD closed the hour lower in 7 of 13 cases · median -1.1p n=13 live
In line within the surprise band EURUSD closed the hour lower in 39 of 66 cases · median -1.7p n=66 live

These are counts of what happened after past releases, conditional on the surprise direction. They are history, not a forecast, and never a trade recommendation. Sample sizes are shown because small samples mislead; rows stay locked until the sample is honest.

Release history

accumulates every release
DateActualForecastPreviousRevised toEURUSD 1h
Sep 30, 20263.012M2.992M2.996M3M+8.4p—
Aug 28, 20262.996M2.991M2.993M—-2.1p—
Jul 31, 20262.993M2.973M2.984M2.987M-2.5p—
Jun 30, 20262.984M2.993M2.987M2.986M-9.0p—
May 29, 20262.987M3.008M3.006M2.998M-13p—
Apr 30, 20263.006M2.988M2.977M2.986M+3.5p—
Mar 31, 20262.977M2.988M2.977M—+3.2p—
Feb 27, 20262.977M2.979M2.976M—-9.9p—
Jan 30, 20262.976M2.976M2.977M2.976M-33p—
Jan 7, 20262.977M2.979M2.973M2.974M+0.6p—
Nov 28, 20252.973M2.982M2.973M—+4.4p—
Oct 30, 20252.973M2.971M2.976M2.975M+0.3p—
Sep 30, 20252.976M2.957M2.957M2.962M+13p—
Aug 29, 20252.957M2.997M2.97M2.966M+1.8p—
Jul 31, 20252.97M2.986M2.972M2.968M-0.5p—
Jul 1, 20252.972M2.975M2.963M2.961M+33p—
May 28, 20252.963M2.939M2.922M2.93M-1.2p—
Apr 30, 20252.922M2.938M2.922M2.918M-14p—
Mar 28, 20252.922M2.888M2.886M2.896M-6.6p—
Feb 28, 20252.886M2.876M2.88M2.881M-2.6p—
Jan 31, 20252.88M2.872M2.869M—-3.4p—
Jan 3, 20252.869M2.878M2.86M—+6.2p—
Nov 29, 20242.86M2.875M2.856M2.854M-13p—
Oct 30, 20242.856M2.853M2.823M2.829M-2.5p—

Showing the latest 24 of 123 tracked releases.

Reaction = EURUSD move 60 minutes after the release, measured from our own price history. Story links appear for releases our news desk covered; every release gets a row here whether or not it gets a story. Values from before our live tracking began are the current figures in the official statistical series, so they include later revisions; live rows record the number as printed.

Market statistics, not financial advice. All reaction figures are measured from our own price feed under our published methodology.
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