New Home Sales - ForexCracked
0.04 pip average spreads, measured over a full month of live data. Unrestricted EAs and a free MT5 virtual server.Open an accountOpen
United States

New Home Sales USD

High impact Updated after every release
Next release Thu, Sep 24 14:00 UTC · consensus 0.584M · previous 0.607M  

What this release is

New Home Sales (USD) tracks the number of newly constructed single-family homes sold in the United States. This monthly report is officially published by census.gov, providing a key indicator for the housing sector.

Forex traders monitor this release closely as housing market activity reflects broader economic health and consumer confidence. Stronger sales can suggest economic expansion, potentially influencing expectations for future interest rates and central bank monetary policy. Such shifts can affect the valuation of the US Dollar.

The market typically focuses on the headline sales figure, though revisions to previous months’ data are also noted. After past releases, significant deviations from expectations have often led to notable market reactions. This series carries a typical impact rating of High for the US Dollar.

How hard it hits, measured

119 releases · own feed
Typical EURUSD move
8pips / 1h
Median absolute move in the hour after the release
Big-release move
17pips / 1h
Top-quarter releases move at least this much
Largest measured
61pips
Biggest one-hour reaction in our archive
Direction reliability
n/a
Unlocks after 8 live-captured releases with consensus. Measured, never estimated
Pair5 min15 min1 hourBig release (1h)
EURUSD4.1p6.1p8.3p17p
AUDUSD3.0p5.0p7.9p12p
GBPUSD4.3p7.1p14p22p
NZDUSD2.6p4.4p6.4p13p
USDCAD3.8p6.5p12p22p
USDCHF3.3p4.8p8.7p14p
USDJPY4.0p5.7p8.8p17p
XAUUSD12p18p27p62p

How we measure: moves come from our own MT4 price feed and our archived minute bars, sampled 5, 15 and 60 minutes after each release against the pre-release price. No estimates, no third-party numbers. Releases where our feed had a gap are skipped, never guessed.

What usually happens

conditional history
Beat above consensus EURUSD closed the hour lower in 29 of 48 cases · median -2.8p n=48 live
Miss below consensus EURUSD closed the hour lower in 28 of 46 cases · median -2.0p n=46 live
In line within the surprise band EURUSD closed the hour higher in 9 of 15 cases · median +4.4p n=15 live

These are counts of what happened after past releases, conditional on the surprise direction. They are history, not a forecast, and never a trade recommendation. Sample sizes are shown because small samples mislead; rows stay locked until the sample is honest.

Release history

accumulates every release
DateActualForecastPreviousRevised toEURUSD 1h
Aug 25, 20260.607M0.64M0.628M0.678M-3.6p
Jul 24, 20260.628M0.547M0.58M0.618M+2.3pStory
Jun 24, 20260.58M0.71M0.622M0.626M-2.3p
May 28, 20260.622M0.713M0.682M0.663M+17p
May 5, 20260.635M0.711M0.635M0.635M+8.3p
Mar 19, 20260.587M0.71M0.745M0.712M-1.2p
Feb 20, 20260.758M0.706M0.758M0.656M+20p
Jan 13, 20260.738M0.694M0.738M0.738M-12p
Sep 24, 20250.8M0.692M0.652M0.664M+4.4p
Aug 25, 20250.652M0.688M0.627M0.656M-13p
Jul 24, 20250.627M0.684M0.623M-5.3p
Jun 25, 20250.623M0.697M0.743M0.722M+20p
May 23, 20250.743M0.683M0.724M0.67M+30p
Apr 23, 20250.724M0.685M0.676M0.674M+19p
Mar 25, 20250.676M0.688M0.657M0.664M-4.3p
Feb 26, 20250.657M0.68M0.698M0.734M+16p
Jan 27, 20250.698M0.689M0.664M0.674M-10p
Dec 23, 20240.664M0.692M0.61M0.627M-2.4p
Nov 26, 20240.61M0.694M0.738M-24p
Oct 24, 20240.738M0.692M0.716M0.709M-2.2p
Sep 25, 20240.716M0.689M0.739M0.751M-23p
Aug 23, 20240.739M0.681M0.617M0.668M+61p
Jul 24, 20240.617M0.654M0.619M0.621M-0.7p
Jun 26, 20240.619M0.669M0.634M0.698M+5.6p

Showing the latest 24 of 119 tracked releases.

Reaction = EURUSD move 60 minutes after the release, measured from our own price history. Story links appear for releases our news desk covered; every release gets a row here whether or not it gets a story. Values from before our live tracking began are the current figures in the official statistical series, so they include later revisions; live rows record the number as printed.

Market statistics, not financial advice. All reaction figures are measured from our own price feed under our published methodology.
← Back to the economic calendar