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Forex headlines assembled from multiple corroborating sources and updated as stories develop. Written by the FXC Newsdesk, method explained on how it works.

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Friday, Jul 31
21:00 COT weekly AUD

CFTC COT Report, Week to July 28, 2026: Euro Net Speculative Position Falls 9k

Speculators increased net long positions in Mexican Peso and British Pound futures, while net shorts grew in Euro and Japanese Yen futures, according to the latest... 20:02 Event recap EUR

CFTC EUR Non-Commercial Net Positions comes in at -72.4K

The latest CFTC EUR Non-Commercial Net Positions report showed a reading of -72.4K. Initial market reaction was generally limited across most EUR pairs. 20:02 Event recap USD

CFTC Nasdaq 100 Non-Commercial Net Positions comes in at 4.9K

The latest CFTC Nasdaq 100 Non-Commercial Net Positions showed **4.9K**. Initial market reactions were observed across major pairs. 20:01 Event recap USD

CFTC S&P 500 Non-Commercial Net Positions comes in at -17.2K

The latest CFTC S&P 500 Non-Commercial Net Positions were reported at -17.2K. Initial market reactions were mixed, with most USD pairs seeing limited movement. 20:01 Event recap USD

CFTC Crude Oil Non-Commercial Net Positions at 120.1K

CFTC Crude Oil Non-Commercial Net Positions were reported at **120.1K**, an increase from the previous **81.7K**. Market reactions were observed across major pairs and gold. 20:01 Event recap USD

CFTC Gold Non-Commercial Net Positions comes in at 182.1K

The latest CFTC Gold Non-Commercial Net Positions report showed **182.1K**. This figure is down from the previous **183.9K**. 20:01 Event recap GBP

CFTC GBP Non-Commercial Net Positions comes in at -64.8K

The latest CFTC GBP Non-Commercial Net Positions were reported at -64.8K. Initial market reactions in GBP pairs were varied, with GBPJPY showing a notable move. 20:00 Event recap JPY

CFTC JPY Non-Commercial Net Positions comes in at -163.4K

The latest CFTC JPY Non-Commercial Net Positions reported a net short of -163.4K JPY. JPY pairs showed varied movements in the 15 minutes after the release. 20:00 Event recap BRL

CFTC BRL Non-Commercial Net Positions comes in at 39.5K

The latest CFTC BRL Non-Commercial Net Positions reported 39.5K BRL. USDBRL moved 31 pips lower 15 minutes after the release. 20:00 Event recap AUD

CFTC AUD Non-Commercial Net Positions Reported at -40K

The latest CFTC AUD Non-Commercial Net Positions were reported at -40K. This figure follows a previous reading of -37.7K. 19:00 Event recap USD

Baker Hughes US Total Rig Count comes in at 588

The latest Baker Hughes US Total Rig Count showed an increase to 588. Market pairs experienced notable movements in the hour following the release. 19:00 Event recap USD

Baker Hughes US Oil Rig Count comes in at 451

The latest Baker Hughes US Oil Rig Count showed an increase to 451. Markets saw significant moves in several USD pairs and gold. 15:00 Event recap USD

MNI Chicago Business Barometer comes in at 57.6 against 56.5 consensus

The MNI Chicago Business Barometer for July registered **57.6**, exceeding the consensus forecast of **56.5**. Initial market reactions show varied moves across major pairs. 14:31 Event recap USD

Michigan 5-Year Inflation Expectations comes in at 3.3% against 3.3% consensus

Michigan 5-Year Inflation Expectations for July 2026 matched consensus at 3.3%. Early market reactions were varied, with some pairs showing relatively small moves compared to historical... 14:30 Event recap USD

Michigan Inflation Expectations comes in at 4.2% against 4.2% consensus

Michigan Inflation Expectations for July 2026 printed at 4.2%, matching consensus. Market reactions varied, with some pairs showing moves larger than their typical median. 14:30 Event recap USD

Michigan Consumer Expectations comes in at 55.4 against 54 consensus

Michigan Consumer Expectations for July 31, 2026, printed at 55.4, exceeding the consensus forecast of 54. Markets showed varied reactions in the initial 15 minutes. 14:30 Event recap USD

Michigan Consumer Sentiment comes in at 55.2 against 54.4 consensus

The latest Michigan Consumer Sentiment index printed at 55.2, exceeding the consensus forecast of 54.4. Markets saw varied reactions across major currency pairs and gold. 13:00 Event recap CAD

CAD GDP y/y comes in at 1.7% against 0.7% consensus

Canada's GDP grew by 1.7% year over year, significantly exceeding the 0.7% consensus forecast. Market reaction has been relatively subdued so far. 13:00 Event recap CAD

Canada GDP m/m comes in at 0.3% against 0.2% consensus

Canada's GDP for July rose by 0.3%, surpassing the 0.2% consensus. Initial market reactions show limited movement for CAD pairs. 13:00 Event recap USD

Employment Cost Index comes in at 0.9% against 0.8% consensus

The US Employment Cost Index for Q2 2026 rose 0.9%, exceeding the 0.8% consensus. Initial market reactions show varied, mostly smaller moves compared to historical averages. 12:30 Daily brief BRL

New York Open Briefing: Friday, July 31, 2026

New York opens with JPY strength and USD weakness. Key US economic data, including Chicago PMI and Michigan sentiment, are due. 12:02 story EUR

Eurozone Inflation Diverges in July: German CPI Exceeds Forecasts, Italian Inflation Moderates

Germany's preliminary July CPI surpassed expectations, while Italy's headline inflation eased, presenting a mixed picture for Eurozone price pressures. 11:18 story ILS

Trump Claims Gaza Disarmament Deal Reached, Hamas Conditions Agreement on Prior Commitments

US President Donald Trump announced an 'historic agreement' for Hamas disarmament in Gaza, but Hamas stated the deal is contingent on the US and Israel honoring... 09:30 Event recap EUR

Eurozone CPI y/y comes in at 3.2% against 2.9% consensus

Eurozone CPI y/y was reported at 3.2%, surpassing the consensus forecast of 2.9%. This outcome represents a 10.3% surprise compared to expectations. 09:30 Event recap EUR

CPI m/m (EUR) comes in at 2.8% against 1.5% consensus

Eurozone CPI m/m data showed a significant increase, coming in at 2.8% against a 1.5% consensus. EUR pairs saw varied reactions in the initial 15 minutes. 09:30 Event recap EUR

Core CPI (EUR) comes in at 102.84

Eurozone Core CPI was reported at 102.84. This figure follows the previous reading of 102.87. 09:30 Event recap EUR

Core CPI y/y (EUR) comes in at 2.5% against 2.4% consensus

Eurozone Core CPI year over year for July 2026 rose to 2.5%, surpassing the 2.4% consensus. The euro saw varied reactions across pairs in the immediate... 08:47 story JPY

Asian Equities Surge on AI Optimism and Tech Earnings; Yen Weakens Post-BOJ Decision

Asian stock markets experienced their largest gains in nearly four months, driven by strong tech earnings and AI demand, while the Japanese Yen depreciated following the... 08:30 Event recap EUR

Germany Unemployment comes in at 2.993M against 2.973M consensus

Germany's unemployment figures were released, showing 2.993 million unemployed against a 2.973 million consensus. The Euro saw varied, generally modest, initial market reactions. 08:30 Event recap EUR

Germany Unemployment Rate comes in at 6.4% against 6.2% consensus

Germany's Unemployment Rate rose to 6.4%, exceeding the 6.2% consensus. The EUR saw varied reactions across pairs in the hour following the release. 08:30 Event recap EUR

Germany Unemployment Change comes in at 6K against -5K consensus

Germany's Unemployment Change for July 2026 registered an increase of 6K, significantly missing market expectations. The Euro saw varied movements against major currencies. 07:30 Daily brief CAD

London Open Briefing: Friday, July 31, 2026

London Open Briefing: France inflation surprises significantly higher, while Euro Area CPI flash estimates are due. Equities gain, but the USD weakens against a mixed risk... 07:15 Event recap EUR

France HICP m/m comes in at 0.6% against -0.3% consensus

France's Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices month over month for July 2026 significantly exceeded consensus expectations. Initial market reaction saw varied, generally small movements across EUR... 07:15 Event recap EUR

France CPI m/m comes in at 0.6% against -0.2% consensus

France's CPI m/m for July 2026 printed at **0.6%**, significantly above the **-0.2%** consensus. The Euro saw varied initial reactions against major pairs, with several moves... 07:02 story GBP

UK Annual House Price Growth Decelerates in July, Monthly Prices Edge Up

Nationwide data revealed that UK annual house price growth slowed in July, though monthly prices registered a marginal increase, reflecting a nuanced market amidst economic uncertainties. 06:30 Event recap GBP

Nationwide HPI y/y comes in at 1.8% against 1.8% consensus

The UK's Nationwide HPI year over year for July 2026 matched expectations at 1.8%. GBP pairs showed varied reactions, with some moves smaller than typical. 06:30 Event recap GBP

Nationwide HPI m/m comes in at 0.1% against 0.2% consensus

The UK's Nationwide HPI m/m registered 0.1%, falling short of the 0.2% consensus. The British Pound showed mixed reactions across pairs in the hour following the... 06:00 Event recap USD

US Core PCE Price Index m/m comes in at 0.1%

The US Core PCE Price Index month over month was released at 0.1%. Market reactions varied across major currency pairs and gold. 06:00 Event preview USD

MNI Chicago Business Barometer preview: Consensus points to slight dip from previous

Traders await the MNI Chicago Business Barometer on July 31. The release carries a high impact rating, with consensus at 56.5 after June's 56.7 print. 06:00 Event preview CAD

Canada GDP m/m preview: Consensus points to slower growth

Canada's latest GDP figures are due, with market consensus at 0.2% following the previous 0.5% reading. This high-impact release often triggers significant moves across CAD pairs. 05:00 Event recap JPY

BoJ Interest Rate Decision comes in at 1% against <1.00% consensus

The Bank of Japan maintained its interest rate at **1%**. Market reaction was generally muted across JPY pairs in the hour following the announcement. 03:47 story JPY

BOJ Maintains Rates at 1% Amidst Dissent and Upgraded Growth Outlook

The Bank of Japan kept its short-term interest rate unchanged at 1.00% following its latest policy meeting, a decision that saw one board member dissent. The... 02:00 Event recap AUD

AUD PPI y/y comes in at 3.6% against 3.3% consensus

Australia's Producer Price Index, year over year, was reported above consensus. Initial market reaction across AUD pairs was generally small compared to historical moves. 02:00 Event recap AUD

AUD PPI q/q comes in at 1.3% against 0.7% consensus

Australia's Producer Price Index for the quarter rose to 1.3%, significantly exceeding the 0.7% consensus. Initial market reactions in AUD pairs have been relatively modest. 02:00 Event recap CNY

Composite PMI (CNY) comes in at 49.3

China's Composite PMI was released at 49.3, down from the previous 50.6. USDCNH saw a limited reaction in the hour following the data. 02:00 Event recap CNY

Non-Manufacturing PMI (CNY) comes in at 49 against 49.9 consensus

China's Non-Manufacturing PMI registered 49, missing the 49.9 consensus. USDCNH saw a limited reaction, moving -16 pips one hour after the release. 02:00 Event recap CNY

Manufacturing PMI (CNY) comes in at 49.2 against 50.1 consensus

China's Manufacturing PMI for July printed at 49.2, falling below the consensus forecast. USDCNH saw a limited reaction in the hour following the release. 00:15 Event recap JPY

Large Retailer’s Sales y/y (JPY) comes in at -1% against 3.5% consensus

Japan's Large Retailer's Sales y/y printed at -1%, significantly missing the 3.5% consensus. Initial market reaction shows relatively small moves across JPY pairs. 00:15 Event recap JPY

Retail Sales m/m (JPY) comes in at -4.1% against -1.5% consensus

Japan's Retail Sales for July significantly missed expectations, printing at -4.1% against a -1.5% consensus. Initial market reaction saw varied, generally subdued movements across JPY pairs. 00:15 Event recap JPY

Industrial Production m/m (JPY) comes in at 1.3% against -0.5% consensus

Japan's Industrial Production rose by 1.3% month over month, significantly exceeding the consensus expectation of a -0.5% decline. Initial market reactions were mixed across JPY pairs. 00:00 Event recap JPY

Tokyo Core CPI y/y comes in at 1.9% against 2.1% consensus

Tokyo Core CPI year over year was reported at 1.9%, below the 2.1% consensus. JPY pairs saw significant movement in the 15 minutes following the release. 00:00 Event recap JPY

Tokyo CPI excl. Food and Energy y/y comes in at 2% against 1.7% consensus

Tokyo CPI excluding Food and Energy year over year was reported at 2%, exceeding the consensus of 1.7%. JPY crosses moved higher following the release.